Jumpluff: regular vs Shadow

Human-written analysis supported by simulation data.

Jumpluff (Grass/Flying) is a niche Great League pick relying on Fairy Wind energy generation paired with Energy Ball plus Acrobatics for coverage. The shadow form adds the standard x1.2 attack / x5/6 defense multipliers, shifting Jumpluff toward a more aggressive role at the cost of survivability. Both loadouts use the same fast and charged moves so the matchup delta isolates the shadow stat tradeoff.

About these numbers

4,096 focal IVs x 9 shield scenarios per loadout; 86 opponents are common to all loadouts. Win rate = fraction of those simulations with a battle rating above 500 (500 is a tie). Methodology: How This Works guide.

Jumpluff (Grass/Flying) is a niche Great League pick relying on Fairy Wind energy generation paired with Energy Ball plus Acrobatics for coverage. The shadow form adds the standard x1.2 attack / x5/6 defense multipliers, shifting Jumpluff toward a more aggressive role at the cost of survivability. Both loadouts use the same fast and charged moves so the matchup delta isolates the shadow stat tradeoff.

TitanTrainers15

Base Stats

Base StatRegularShadow
Attack118118
Defense183183
Stamina181181

Moveset

MoveRegularShadow
FastFairy Wind 4 pwr, 9 eg, 2t (2.00 DPT, 4.50 EPT)Fairy Wind 4 pwr, 9 eg, 2t (2.00 DPT, 4.50 EPT)
Charged 1Energy Ball (STAB) 80 pwrEnergy Ball (STAB) 80 pwr
Charged 2Acrobatics (STAB) 110 pwrAcrobatics (STAB) 110 pwr

Verdict

Regular wins 53.2% of simulated matchups; Shadow wins 50.9% of simulated matchups.

Matchup Delta

OpponentRegular Win RateShadow Win RateΔ (pp)Flip?
Dragonair83.4%53.9%+29.5No flip
Sliggoo69.6%45.2%+24.4+Regular
Forretress (Shadow)37.8%16.2%+21.6No flip
Diggersby88.1%67.4%+20.7No flip
Aegislash (Blade)55.0%35.8%+19.3+Regular
Primeape (Shadow)54.9%36.5%+18.5+Regular
Forretress (Shadow) (Bug Bite)38.0%22.5%+15.5No flip
Jumpluff61.1%46.0%+15.1+Regular
Grumpig66.7%52.6%+14.0No flip
Lickilicky48.8%35.1%+13.7No flip
Kingdra89.4%75.9%+13.5No flip
Tinkaton32.0%18.7%+13.3No flip
Sableye (Shadow)69.3%56.1%+13.2No flip
Umbreon82.8%70.1%+12.7No flip
Stunfisk85.4%73.1%+12.3No flip
Primeape66.5%54.9%+11.5No flip
Primeape (Close Combat+Rage Fist)88.9%77.7%+11.2No flip
Guzzlord70.6%59.4%+11.2No flip
Dusclops (Shadow)33.3%22.3%+11.0No flip
Primeape (Shadow) (Close Combat+Rage Fist)77.7%66.7%+11.0No flip
Sealeo31.4%20.9%+10.4No flip
Seaking44.2%33.8%+10.4No flip
Mantine52.1%42.5%+9.6+Regular
Malamar71.6%62.1%+9.5No flip
Stunfisk (Galarian)39.8%30.4%+9.4No flip
Mimikyu62.4%53.3%+9.1No flip
Shelgon (Shadow)45.3%36.7%+8.6No flip
Annihilape66.7%59.1%+7.5No flip
Altaria (Shadow)53.8%46.7%+7.1+Regular
Quagsire (Shadow) (Aqua Tail+Stone Edge)88.9%82.6%+6.3No flip
Forretress (Bug Bite)44.1%38.0%+6.1No flip
Ninetales (Shadow)22.2%16.2%+6.0No flip
Furret59.3%53.5%+5.9No flip
Shelgon51.0%45.3%+5.7+Regular
Gourgeist (Super)72.0%66.4%+5.5No flip
Empoleon (Shadow)31.9%26.9%+5.0No flip
Annihilape (Close Combat+Rage Fist)88.9%84.6%+4.3No flip
Sableye66.3%62.3%+3.9No flip
Jellicent70.5%66.7%+3.8No flip
Weezing (Galarian) (Shadow)31.6%28.3%+3.3No flip
Sealeo (Shadow)20.9%18.2%+2.7No flip
Oinkologne100.0%97.5%+2.5No flip
Corviknight11.1%9.4%+1.7No flip
Empoleon33.3%31.9%+1.5No flip
Dragonair (Shadow)59.0%57.6%+1.4No flip
Sylveon63.9%62.6%+1.3No flip
Corsola (Galarian)44.7%43.6%+1.1No flip
Kingdra (Shadow)75.9%74.9%+1.0No flip
Dondozo89.8%88.9%+0.9No flip
Oinkologne (Female)100.0%99.5%+0.5No flip
Greedent89.1%88.9%+0.2No flip
Quagsire (Shadow)100.0%100.0%+0.0No flip
Quagsire100.0%100.0%+0.0No flip
Lapras33.3%33.3%+0.0No flip
Dusclops33.3%33.3%+0.0No flip
Quagsire (Aqua Tail+Stone Edge)88.9%88.9%+0.0No flip
Pelipper33.3%33.3%-0.0No flip
Azumarill65.6%65.9%-0.3No flip
Lumineon56.4%58.9%-2.6No flip
Togekiss42.5%45.1%-2.6No flip
Dusknoir (Shadow)62.6%65.6%-3.0No flip
Talonflame (Shadow)22.2%25.6%-3.4No flip
Forretress32.8%37.8%-5.0No flip
Clodsire22.7%28.9%-6.2No flip
Togetic37.4%43.9%-6.5No flip
Dewgong18.0%25.2%-7.1No flip
Aegislash (Shield)22.2%29.7%-7.5No flip
Wigglytuff48.3%55.9%-7.6+Shadow
Jumpluff (Shadow)46.0%53.9%-7.9+Shadow
Cradily36.1%44.5%-8.4No flip
Cradily (Acid)14.1%22.6%-8.5No flip
Charjabug48.4%57.2%-8.7+Shadow
Steelix25.8%35.3%-9.4No flip
Milotic84.3%93.9%-9.6No flip
Corviknight (Shadow)9.4%20.2%-10.9No flip
Talonflame11.2%22.2%-11.0No flip
Feraligatr (Shadow)55.6%66.7%-11.0No flip
Ninetales11.1%22.2%-11.1No flip
Feraligatr44.5%55.6%-11.2+Shadow
Moltres (Galarian)43.0%54.5%-11.5+Shadow
Lapras (Shadow)33.3%45.0%-11.7No flip
Fearow23.6%35.3%-11.7No flip
Florges60.2%73.4%-13.2No flip
Medicham51.6%66.7%-15.0No flip
Altaria32.4%53.8%-21.4+Shadow
Seismitoad43.0%66.7%-23.7+Shadow

14 of 86 opponents flip across the 50% win line between Regular and Shadow.