Kanto Ninetales (Fire) is a niche Great League pick built around Ember chip damage plus Weather Ball (Fire) and Energy Ball for coverage against Steel, Grass, Ice, and Bug targets. The shadow form trades x5/6 defense for x1.2 attack, sharpening the offensive profile. Both loadouts use the same fast and charged moves so the matchup delta isolates the shadow stat tradeoff.
4,096 focal IVs x 9 shield scenarios per loadout; 86 opponents are common to all loadouts. Win rate = fraction of those simulations with a battle rating above 500 (500 is a tie). Methodology: How This Works guide.
| Base Stat | Regular | Shadow |
|---|---|---|
| Attack | 169 | 169 |
| Defense | 190 | 190 |
| Stamina | 177 | 177 |
| Move | Regular | Shadow |
|---|---|---|
| Fast | Ember (STAB) 4 pwr, 9 eg, 2t (2.00 DPT, 4.50 EPT) | Ember (STAB) 4 pwr, 9 eg, 2t (2.00 DPT, 4.50 EPT) |
| Charged 1 | Weather Ball (Fire) (STAB) 60 pwr | Weather Ball (Fire) (STAB) 60 pwr |
| Charged 2 | Energy Ball 80 pwr | Energy Ball 80 pwr |
Regular wins 46.4% of simulated matchups; Shadow wins 47.2% of simulated matchups.
| Opponent | Regular Win Rate | Shadow Win Rate | Δ (pp) | Flip? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Umbreon | 53.0% | 34.8% | +18.2 | +Regular |
| Quagsire (Shadow) | 62.6% | 46.1% | +16.5 | +Regular |
| Quagsire (Shadow) (Aqua Tail+Stone Edge) | 62.6% | 46.1% | +16.5 | +Regular |
| Stunfisk (Galarian) | 54.8% | 39.2% | +15.7 | +Regular |
| Sealeo | 53.7% | 39.8% | +13.8 | +Regular |
| Corviknight (Shadow) | 69.3% | 55.7% | +13.6 | No flip |
| Steelix | 87.8% | 74.3% | +13.5 | No flip |
| Stunfisk | 66.2% | 54.6% | +11.6 | No flip |
| Jellicent | 44.8% | 33.3% | +11.4 | No flip |
| Diggersby | 44.9% | 33.6% | +11.3 | No flip |
| Jumpluff | 87.7% | 77.8% | +9.9 | No flip |
| Forretress (Bug Bite) | 98.6% | 88.9% | +9.7 | No flip |
| Gourgeist (Super) | 97.0% | 87.5% | +9.5 | No flip |
| Togekiss | 53.2% | 44.4% | +8.7 | +Regular |
| Sableye (Shadow) | 46.0% | 37.5% | +8.6 | No flip |
| Lumineon | 49.9% | 41.4% | +8.5 | No flip |
| Dewgong | 77.8% | 69.4% | +8.4 | No flip |
| Aegislash (Shield) | 63.4% | 55.6% | +7.9 | No flip |
| Togetic | 97.9% | 90.4% | +7.5 | No flip |
| Forretress (Shadow) | 75.5% | 68.5% | +7.0 | No flip |
| Annihilape (Close Combat+Rage Fist) | 39.0% | 33.4% | +5.6 | No flip |
| Dusknoir (Shadow) | 50.8% | 45.2% | +5.6 | +Regular |
| Milotic | 27.2% | 22.2% | +5.0 | No flip |
| Malamar | 48.8% | 44.4% | +4.4 | No flip |
| Ninetales (Shadow) | 51.5% | 47.1% | +4.3 | +Regular |
| Empoleon | 40.8% | 37.1% | +3.8 | No flip |
| Oinkologne (Female) | 33.4% | 29.7% | +3.7 | No flip |
| Tinkaton | 86.2% | 82.5% | +3.7 | No flip |
| Forretress | 77.8% | 75.5% | +2.3 | No flip |
| Greedent | 55.1% | 52.9% | +2.2 | No flip |
| Dondozo | 25.7% | 23.6% | +2.2 | No flip |
| Azumarill | 50.2% | 48.3% | +1.9 | +Regular |
| Jumpluff (Shadow) | 77.8% | 76.0% | +1.8 | No flip |
| Quagsire | 63.6% | 62.6% | +1.0 | No flip |
| Weezing (Galarian) (Shadow) | 60.4% | 59.9% | +0.5 | No flip |
| Aegislash (Blade) | 78.1% | 77.8% | +0.3 | No flip |
| Dusclops (Shadow) | 57.7% | 57.5% | +0.2 | No flip |
| Kingdra (Shadow) | 11.1% | 11.1% | +0.0 | No flip |
| Kingdra | 11.1% | 11.1% | +0.0 | No flip |
| Forretress (Shadow) (Bug Bite) | 88.9% | 88.9% | +0.0 | No flip |
| Corsola (Galarian) | 44.4% | 44.4% | -0.0 | No flip |
| Feraligatr (Shadow) | 55.6% | 55.6% | -0.0 | No flip |
| Fearow | 44.4% | 44.4% | -0.0 | No flip |
| Pelipper | 22.0% | 22.2% | -0.2 | No flip |
| Moltres (Galarian) | 42.7% | 43.0% | -0.3 | No flip |
| Wigglytuff | 80.9% | 81.5% | -0.6 | No flip |
| Sableye | 32.5% | 33.3% | -0.8 | No flip |
| Primeape | 44.6% | 45.4% | -0.8 | No flip |
| Lickilicky | 28.2% | 29.0% | -0.9 | No flip |
| Seaking | 46.0% | 47.5% | -1.5 | No flip |
| Furret | 51.9% | 53.5% | -1.5 | No flip |
| Corviknight | 67.7% | 69.3% | -1.6 | No flip |
| Quagsire (Aqua Tail+Stone Edge) | 60.9% | 62.6% | -1.7 | No flip |
| Dragonair | 9.3% | 11.1% | -1.8 | No flip |
| Talonflame | 20.2% | 22.3% | -2.1 | No flip |
| Annihilape | 52.8% | 55.5% | -2.7 | No flip |
| Cradily | 32.3% | 35.1% | -2.9 | No flip |
| Ninetales | 48.4% | 51.5% | -3.0 | +Shadow |
| Guzzlord | 4.9% | 9.3% | -4.5 | No flip |
| Mimikyu | 40.1% | 44.6% | -4.5 | No flip |
| Lapras | 38.1% | 43.8% | -5.7 | No flip |
| Sylveon | 56.4% | 62.7% | -6.4 | No flip |
| Primeape (Close Combat+Rage Fist) | 26.6% | 33.3% | -6.7 | No flip |
| Shelgon | 3.7% | 11.1% | -7.4 | No flip |
| Lapras (Shadow) | 43.8% | 51.2% | -7.4 | +Shadow |
| Primeape (Shadow) (Close Combat+Rage Fist) | 33.3% | 41.1% | -7.8 | No flip |
| Primeape (Shadow) | 45.4% | 54.3% | -9.0 | +Shadow |
| Charjabug | 77.8% | 86.8% | -9.0 | No flip |
| Oinkologne | 35.0% | 44.4% | -9.4 | No flip |
| Dragonair (Shadow) | 11.1% | 20.7% | -9.6 | No flip |
| Mantine | 11.2% | 21.1% | -9.9 | No flip |
| Sliggoo | 0.0% | 10.4% | -10.4 | No flip |
| Talonflame (Shadow) | 23.4% | 33.9% | -10.6 | No flip |
| Dusclops | 46.9% | 57.7% | -10.8 | +Shadow |
| Shelgon (Shadow) | 11.1% | 22.2% | -11.1 | No flip |
| Altaria | 0.0% | 11.1% | -11.1 | No flip |
| Grumpig | 41.4% | 53.0% | -11.6 | +Shadow |
| Medicham | 44.3% | 55.9% | -11.6 | +Shadow |
| Clodsire | 20.7% | 33.3% | -12.5 | No flip |
| Empoleon (Shadow) | 37.1% | 49.8% | -12.8 | No flip |
| Altaria (Shadow) | 11.1% | 24.6% | -13.4 | No flip |
| Sealeo (Shadow) | 39.8% | 55.6% | -15.7 | +Shadow |
| Cradily (Acid) | 11.4% | 28.2% | -16.8 | No flip |
| Seismitoad | 45.1% | 66.7% | -21.5 | +Shadow |
| Feraligatr | 33.9% | 55.6% | -21.7 | +Shadow |
| Florges | 34.1% | 64.1% | -29.9 | +Shadow |
19 of 86 opponents flip across the 50% win line between Regular and Shadow.