Shadow Talonflame Ultra League IV Dive

Opponent list (63 mons)

Tinkaton, Corviknight, Snorlax (Shadow), Corviknight (Shadow), Melmetal, Virizion, Zygarde (Complete Forme), Empoleon, Empoleon (Shadow), Mimikyu, Snorlax, Florges, Moltres (Galarian), Feraligatr (Shadow), Feraligatr, Jellicent, Giratina (Altered), Cramorant, Guzzlord, Skeledirge, Rillaboom, Lapras, Lapras (Shadow), Dusknoir, Ninetales (Alolan), Dondozo, Dusknoir (Shadow), Registeel, Blastoise, Ninetales (Alolan) (Shadow), Forretress, Giratina (Altered) (Shadow), Regidrago, Ninetales, Cresselia, Muk (Alolan), Clefable, Talonflame, Forretress (Shadow), Walrein, Walrein (Shadow), Deoxys (Defense), Runerigus, Steelix, Seaking, Cresselia (Shadow), Steelix (Shadow), Swampert, Toucannon, Milotic (Shadow), Primarina, Ampharos, Cradily (Shadow), Malamar (Shadow), Ampharos (Shadow), Talonflame (Shadow), Bellibolt, Seismitoad, Annihilape, Miltank, Forretress (Bug Bite), Forretress (Shadow) (Bug Bite), Annihilape (Close Combat+Rage Fist)

Which one to build? [all shields, equal] Any of them: no single stat threshold decides a matchup here. Which matchups you win still moves: Build 1 (54 spreads, Atk >= 191.00 and Def >= 115.54-116.95 depending on HP (165-168; 4 steps, in the table)) guarantees 53 of the 69 decision matchups; Build 2 (165 spreads, disjoint from it) guarantees 42 others; Build 1 wide (135 spreads) keeps 47 of Build 1's 53 guaranteed matchups.

Build criteria: the same control as the one in the scatter strip below; either handle moves both

Talonflame (Shadow) running Incinerate / Brave Bird, Fly.

[all shields, equal] Any of them: no single stat threshold decides a matchup here. Which matchups you win still moves: Build 1 (54 spreads, Atk >= 191.00 and Def >= 115.54-116.95 depending on HP (165-168; 4 steps, in the table)) guarantees 53 of the 69 decision matchups; Build 2 (165 spreads, disjoint from it) guarantees 42 others; Build 1 wide (135 spreads) keeps 47 of Build 1's 53 guaranteed matchups.

No single-stat line on this moveset.

Build

Rule

Spreads

Guarantees

Rarest win

Gives up

Best member / SP1

Build 1 (primary)

Atk >= 191.00 + Def/HP staircase (4 steps)

53 of 69, 6 of them material; 50 hold under every opponent-IV mode

0v1 Skeledirge (outside 5%)

nothing the other builds guarantee

15/15/14 (292 of 567 matchups); SP1 in

What Build 1 guarantees (53 of 69), its steps and its 54 members

HP	Defense floor at that HP and above
165	116.9
166	116
167	115
168	115

The rule fits exactly: these spreads and no others.

0v0 (10)
- 0v0 Swampert (rank 48) -- outside 23%; material
- 0v0 Florges (rank 12) -- outside 30%
- 0v0 Moltres (Galarian) (rank 13) -- outside 56%; holds in 2 of 4 opponent-IV modes
- 0v0 Corviknight (rank 2) -- outside 68%
- 0v0 Muk (Alolan) (rank 36) -- outside 81%
- 0v0 Melmetal (rank 5) -- outside 84%
- 0v0 Walrein (rank 40) -- outside 87%
- 0v0 Clefable (rank 37) -- outside 93%
- 0v0 Ninetales (Alolan) (rank 25) -- outside 94%
- 0v0 Ninetales (Alolan) (Shadow) (rank 30) -- outside 95%
0v1 (6)
- 0v1 Skeledirge (rank 20) -- outside 5%; material
- 0v1 Registeel (rank 28) -- outside 16%
- 0v1 Cresselia (Shadow) (rank 46) -- outside 54%
- 0v1 Rillaboom (rank 21) -- outside 73%
- 0v1 Corviknight (rank 2) -- outside 78%
- 0v1 Ninetales (rank 34) -- outside 90%
0v2 (3)
- 0v2 Registeel (rank 28) -- outside 31%
- 0v2 Virizion (rank 6) -- outside 32%
- 0v2 Rillaboom (rank 21) -- outside 60%; material
1v0 (6)
- 1v0 Feraligatr (rank 15) -- outside 43%
- 1v0 Seaking (rank 45) -- outside 49%
- 1v0 Swampert (rank 48) -- outside 54%
- 1v0 Regidrago (rank 33) -- outside 62%
- 1v0 Florges (rank 12) -- outside 81%
- 1v0 Walrein (rank 40) -- outside 87%
1v1 (9)
- 1v1 Swampert (rank 48) -- outside 7%; material
- 1v1 Zygarde (Complete Forme) (rank 7) -- outside 15%; material
- 1v1 Skeledirge (rank 20) -- outside 30%
- 1v1 Dusknoir (rank 24) -- outside 33%
- 1v1 Runerigus (rank 43) -- outside 37%
- 1v1 Melmetal (rank 5) -- outside 43%
- 1v1 Florges (rank 12) -- outside 49%
- 1v1 Deoxys (Defense) (rank 42) -- outside 59%
- 1v1 Cresselia (rank 35) -- outside 87%
1v2 (6)
- 1v2 Cresselia (rank 35) -- outside 39%
- 1v2 Clefable (rank 37) -- outside 41%
- 1v2 Corviknight (Shadow) (rank 4) -- outside 46%
- 1v2 Rillaboom (rank 21) -- outside 65%
- 1v2 Corviknight (rank 2) -- outside 68%
- 1v2 Registeel (rank 28) -- outside 90%
2v0 (3)
- 2v0 Steelix (Shadow) (rank 47) -- outside 9%; material; holds in 2 of 4 opponent-IV modes
- 2v0 Dondozo (rank 26) -- outside 92%
- 2v0 Steelix (rank 44) -- outside 96%
2v1 (6)
- 2v1 Jellicent (rank 16) -- outside 11%; holds in 2 of 4 opponent-IV modes
- 2v1 Swampert (rank 48) -- outside 31%
- 2v1 Blastoise (rank 29) -- outside 43%
- 2v1 Zygarde (Complete Forme) (rank 7) -- outside 78%
- 2v1 Steelix (Shadow) (rank 47) -- outside 79%
- 2v1 Cramorant (rank 18) -- outside 87%
2v2 (4)
- 2v2 Snorlax (rank 11) -- outside 17%
- 2v2 Skeledirge (rank 20) -- outside 24%
- 2v2 Moltres (Galarian) (rank 13) -- outside 60%
- 2v2 Rillaboom (rank 21) -- outside 92%

Members (54), highest stat product first

Build 1 wide

Atk >= 188.00 + Def/HP staircase (4 steps)

135

47 of 69, 3 of them material; 36 hold under every opponent-IV mode

6: 1v1 Zygarde (Complete Forme), 1v1 Swampert, +4 more

What the wider rule keeps and gives up

HP	Defense floor at that HP and above
165	116.9
166	116
167	115
168	115

The rule fits exactly: these spreads and no others.

The looser target around Build 1, for a reader who cannot hit Build 1 exactly. It holds every one of Build 1's 54 spreads in 135 of its own, and keeps 47 of Build 1's 53 guaranteed matchups (3 of them material).

The 6 it gives up out here: 1v1 Swampert (grid 8%), 2v0 Steelix (Shadow) (grid 10%) and 2v1 Jellicent (grid 12%), and 3 more.

Build 2 (fork)

no two- or three-stat rule fits; 165 spreads by list

165

42 of 69, 2 of them material; 30 hold under every opponent-IV mode

2v2 Snorlax (outside 15%)

11: 0v1 Skeledirge, 0v1 Registeel, +9 more

13/15/14 (286 of 567 matchups)

What Build 2 guarantees (42 of 69), its 165 members

all inside attack IV 11-13, defense IV 5-15, HP IV 11-15; that box also holds 0 spreads that are not members

No two- or three-stat rule fits it; the list is the build.

0v0 (10)
- 0v0 Swampert (rank 48) -- outside 20%; material; holds in 2 of 4 opponent-IV modes
- 0v0 Florges (rank 12) -- outside 28%; holds in 2 of 4 opponent-IV modes
- 0v0 Moltres (Galarian) (rank 13) -- outside 54%; holds in 2 of 4 opponent-IV modes
- 0v0 Corviknight (rank 2) -- outside 67%
- 0v0 Muk (Alolan) (rank 36) -- outside 80%
- 0v0 Melmetal (rank 5) -- outside 83%
- 0v0 Walrein (rank 40) -- outside 87%
- 0v0 Clefable (rank 37) -- outside 93%; holds in 2 of 4 opponent-IV modes
- 0v0 Ninetales (Alolan) (rank 25) -- outside 93%
- 0v0 Ninetales (Alolan) (Shadow) (rank 30) -- outside 95%
0v1 (3)
- 0v1 Rillaboom (rank 21) -- outside 73%
- 0v1 Corviknight (rank 2) -- outside 77%
- 0v1 Ninetales (rank 34) -- outside 90%
0v2 (2)
- 0v2 Registeel (rank 28) -- outside 29%; holds in 2 of 4 opponent-IV modes
- 0v2 Rillaboom (rank 21) -- outside 59%; material
1v0 (6)
- 1v0 Feraligatr (rank 15) -- outside 41%; holds in 2 of 4 opponent-IV modes
- 1v0 Seaking (rank 45) -- outside 48%
- 1v0 Swampert (rank 48) -- outside 53%; holds in 2 of 4 opponent-IV modes
- 1v0 Regidrago (rank 33) -- outside 61%; holds in 2 of 4 opponent-IV modes
- 1v0 Florges (rank 12) -- outside 80%; holds in 2 of 4 opponent-IV modes
- 1v0 Walrein (rank 40) -- outside 87%
1v1 (7)
- 1v1 Skeledirge (rank 20) -- outside 28%
- 1v1 Dusknoir (rank 24) -- outside 31%
- 1v1 Runerigus (rank 43) -- outside 35%; holds in 2 of 4 opponent-IV modes
- 1v1 Melmetal (rank 5) -- outside 41%
- 1v1 Florges (rank 12) -- outside 48%
- 1v1 Deoxys (Defense) (rank 42) -- outside 58%
- 1v1 Cresselia (rank 35) -- outside 87%; holds in 2 of 4 opponent-IV modes
1v2 (6)
- 1v2 Cresselia (rank 35) -- outside 37%; holds in 2 of 4 opponent-IV modes
- 1v2 Clefable (rank 37) -- outside 39%
- 1v2 Corviknight (Shadow) (rank 4) -- outside 44%
- 1v2 Rillaboom (rank 21) -- outside 64%
- 1v2 Corviknight (rank 2) -- outside 67%
- 1v2 Registeel (rank 28) -- outside 90%
2v0 (2)
- 2v0 Dondozo (rank 26) -- outside 92%
- 2v0 Steelix (rank 44) -- outside 96%
2v1 (3)
- 2v1 Blastoise (rank 29) -- outside 41%
- 2v1 Zygarde (Complete Forme) (rank 7) -- outside 77%
- 2v1 Steelix (Shadow) (rank 47) -- outside 79%
2v2 (3)
- 2v2 Snorlax (rank 11) -- outside 15%
- 2v2 Moltres (Galarian) (rank 13) -- outside 59%
- 2v2 Rillaboom (rank 21) -- outside 92%

Members (165), highest stat product first

Build

Rule

Spreads

Guarantees (in the counted shields / overall)

Rarest win

Gives up

Best member (in 0v0 / 1v1 / 2v2 shields) / SP1

Build 1 (primary)

Atk >= 191.00 + Def/HP staircase (9 steps)

104

20 of 30 in 0v0 / 1v1 / 2v2 shields; 46 of 69 overall, 4 of them material; 42 hold under every opponent-IV mode

0v1 Skeledirge (outside 4%)

nothing the other builds guarantee

15/14/13 (93 of 189 matchups); SP1 in

What Build 1 guarantees (20 of 30 in 0v0 / 1v1 / 2v2 shields; 46 of 69 overall), its steps and its 104 members

HP	Defense floor at that HP and above
160	117
161	117
162	117
163	117
164	117
165	116.9
166	116
167	114.8
168	113

The rule fits exactly: these spreads and no others.

0v0 (10)
- 0v0 Swampert (rank 48) -- outside 22%; material
- 0v0 Florges (rank 12) -- outside 29%
- 0v0 Moltres (Galarian) (rank 13) -- outside 55%; holds in 2 of 4 opponent-IV modes
- 0v0 Corviknight (rank 2) -- outside 68%
- 0v0 Muk (Alolan) (rank 36) -- outside 81%
- 0v0 Melmetal (rank 5) -- outside 83%
- 0v0 Walrein (rank 40) -- outside 87%
- 0v0 Clefable (rank 37) -- outside 93%
- 0v0 Ninetales (Alolan) (rank 25) -- outside 94%
- 0v0 Ninetales (Alolan) (Shadow) (rank 30) -- outside 95%
0v1 (5)
- 0v1 Skeledirge (rank 20) -- outside 4%; material
- 0v1 Cresselia (Shadow) (rank 46) -- outside 54%
- 0v1 Rillaboom (rank 21) -- outside 73%
- 0v1 Corviknight (rank 2) -- outside 78%
- 0v1 Ninetales (rank 34) -- outside 90%
0v2 (1)
- 0v2 Registeel (rank 28) -- outside 30%
1v0 (6)
- 1v0 Feraligatr (rank 15) -- outside 42%
- 1v0 Seaking (rank 45) -- outside 49%
- 1v0 Swampert (rank 48) -- outside 54%
- 1v0 Regidrago (rank 33) -- outside 62%
- 1v0 Florges (rank 12) -- outside 81%
- 1v0 Walrein (rank 40) -- outside 87%
1v1 (7)
- 1v1 Zygarde (Complete Forme) (rank 7) -- outside 14%; material; holds in 2 of 4 opponent-IV modes
- 1v1 Skeledirge (rank 20) -- outside 29%
- 1v1 Runerigus (rank 43) -- outside 36%
- 1v1 Melmetal (rank 5) -- outside 42%
- 1v1 Florges (rank 12) -- outside 49%
- 1v1 Deoxys (Defense) (rank 42) -- outside 58%
- 1v1 Cresselia (rank 35) -- outside 87%
1v2 (6)
- 1v2 Cresselia (rank 35) -- outside 38%
- 1v2 Clefable (rank 37) -- outside 40%
- 1v2 Corviknight (Shadow) (rank 4) -- outside 45%
- 1v2 Rillaboom (rank 21) -- outside 65%
- 1v2 Corviknight (rank 2) -- outside 68%
- 1v2 Registeel (rank 28) -- outside 90%
2v0 (3)
- 2v0 Steelix (Shadow) (rank 47) -- outside 8%; material; holds in 2 of 4 opponent-IV modes
- 2v0 Dondozo (rank 26) -- outside 92%
- 2v0 Steelix (rank 44) -- outside 96%
2v1 (5)
- 2v1 Jellicent (rank 16) -- outside 10%; holds in 2 of 4 opponent-IV modes
- 2v1 Swampert (rank 48) -- outside 31%
- 2v1 Blastoise (rank 29) -- outside 42%
- 2v1 Zygarde (Complete Forme) (rank 7) -- outside 77%
- 2v1 Steelix (Shadow) (rank 47) -- outside 79%
2v2 (3)
- 2v2 Skeledirge (rank 20) -- outside 23%
- 2v2 Moltres (Galarian) (rank 13) -- outside 60%
- 2v2 Rillaboom (rank 21) -- outside 92%

Members (104), highest stat product first

Build 1 wide

Atk >= 188.00 + Def/HP staircase (10 steps)

270

18 of 30 in 0v0 / 1v1 / 2v2 shields; 40 of 69 overall, 2 of them material; 28 hold under every opponent-IV mode

6: 0v1 Cresselia (Shadow), 1v1 Zygarde (Complete Forme), +4 more

What the wider rule keeps and gives up

HP	Defense floor at that HP and above
159	118
160	117
161	117
162	117
163	117
164	117
165	116.9
166	116
167	114.8
168	113

The rule fits exactly: these spreads and no others.

The looser target around Build 1, for a reader who cannot hit Build 1 exactly. It holds every one of Build 1's 104 spreads in 270 of its own, and keeps 18 of Build 1's 20 guaranteed matchups in 0v0 / 1v1 / 2v2 shields (40 of its 46 overall, 2 of them material).

The 6 it gives up out here: 2v0 Steelix (Shadow) (grid 10%), 2v1 Jellicent (grid 12%) and 1v1 Zygarde (Complete Forme) (grid 16%), and 3 more.

Build 2 (fork)

no two- or three-stat rule fits; 381 spreads by list

381

15 of 30 in 0v0 / 1v1 / 2v2 shields; 29 of 69 overall, 0 of them material; 19 hold under every opponent-IV mode

0v0 Florges (outside 24%)

17: 0v0 Corviknight, 0v0 Swampert, +15 more

13/14/13 (91 of 189 matchups)

What Build 2 guarantees (15 of 30 in 0v0 / 1v1 / 2v2 shields; 29 of 69 overall), its 381 members

all inside attack IV 11-13, defense IV 4-15, HP IV 5-15; that box also holds 15 spreads that are not members

No two- or three-stat rule fits it; the list is the build.

0v0 (8)
- 0v0 Florges (rank 12) -- outside 24%; holds in 2 of 4 opponent-IV modes
- 0v0 Moltres (Galarian) (rank 13) -- outside 52%; holds in 2 of 4 opponent-IV modes
- 0v0 Muk (Alolan) (rank 36) -- outside 79%
- 0v0 Melmetal (rank 5) -- outside 82%
- 0v0 Walrein (rank 40) -- outside 86%
- 0v0 Clefable (rank 37) -- outside 92%; holds in 2 of 4 opponent-IV modes
- 0v0 Ninetales (Alolan) (rank 25) -- outside 93%
- 0v0 Ninetales (Alolan) (Shadow) (rank 30) -- outside 95%
0v1 (2)
- 0v1 Rillaboom (rank 21) -- outside 71%
- 0v1 Ninetales (rank 34) -- outside 90%
1v0 (6)
- 1v0 Feraligatr (rank 15) -- outside 38%; holds in 2 of 4 opponent-IV modes
- 1v0 Seaking (rank 45) -- outside 45%
- 1v0 Swampert (rank 48) -- outside 50%; holds in 2 of 4 opponent-IV modes
- 1v0 Regidrago (rank 33) -- outside 59%; holds in 2 of 4 opponent-IV modes
- 1v0 Florges (rank 12) -- outside 79%; holds in 2 of 4 opponent-IV modes
- 1v0 Walrein (rank 40) -- outside 86%
1v1 (6)
- 1v1 Skeledirge (rank 20) -- outside 24%
- 1v1 Runerigus (rank 43) -- outside 31%; holds in 2 of 4 opponent-IV modes
- 1v1 Melmetal (rank 5) -- outside 38%
- 1v1 Florges (rank 12) -- outside 45%
- 1v1 Deoxys (Defense) (rank 42) -- outside 55%
- 1v1 Cresselia (rank 35) -- outside 86%; holds in 2 of 4 opponent-IV modes
1v2 (3)
- 1v2 Cresselia (rank 35) -- outside 34%; holds in 2 of 4 opponent-IV modes
- 1v2 Rillaboom (rank 21) -- outside 62%
- 1v2 Registeel (rank 28) -- outside 90%
2v0 (1)
- 2v0 Steelix (rank 44) -- outside 96%
2v1 (2)
- 2v1 Blastoise (rank 29) -- outside 38%
- 2v1 Zygarde (Complete Forme) (rank 7) -- outside 76%
2v2 (1)
- 2v2 Rillaboom (rank 21) -- outside 91%

Members (381), highest stat product first

Build

Rule

Spreads

Guarantees (in the counted shields / overall)

Rarest win

Gives up

Best member (in 1v1 shields) / SP1

Build 1 (primary)

Atk >= 191.00 + Def/HP staircase (6 steps)

8 of 11 in 1v1 shields; 49 of 69 overall, 4 of them material; 46 hold under every opponent-IV mode

0v1 Skeledirge (outside 5%)

nothing the other builds guarantee

14/12/13 (33 of 63 matchups); SP1 in

What Build 1 guarantees (8 of 11 in 1v1 shields; 49 of 69 overall), its steps and its 86 members

HP	Defense floor at that HP and above
163	117
164	117
165	116.9
166	116
167	114.8
168	113

The rule fits exactly: these spreads and no others.

0v0 (10)
- 0v0 Swampert (rank 48) -- outside 22%; material
- 0v0 Florges (rank 12) -- outside 30%
- 0v0 Moltres (Galarian) (rank 13) -- outside 55%; holds in 2 of 4 opponent-IV modes
- 0v0 Corviknight (rank 2) -- outside 68%
- 0v0 Muk (Alolan) (rank 36) -- outside 81%
- 0v0 Melmetal (rank 5) -- outside 84%
- 0v0 Walrein (rank 40) -- outside 87%
- 0v0 Clefable (rank 37) -- outside 93%
- 0v0 Ninetales (Alolan) (rank 25) -- outside 94%
- 0v0 Ninetales (Alolan) (Shadow) (rank 30) -- outside 95%
0v1 (5)
- 0v1 Skeledirge (rank 20) -- outside 5%; material
- 0v1 Cresselia (Shadow) (rank 46) -- outside 54%
- 0v1 Rillaboom (rank 21) -- outside 73%
- 0v1 Corviknight (rank 2) -- outside 78%
- 0v1 Ninetales (rank 34) -- outside 90%
0v2 (1)
- 0v2 Registeel (rank 28) -- outside 31%
1v0 (6)
- 1v0 Feraligatr (rank 15) -- outside 43%
- 1v0 Seaking (rank 45) -- outside 49%
- 1v0 Swampert (rank 48) -- outside 54%
- 1v0 Regidrago (rank 33) -- outside 62%
- 1v0 Florges (rank 12) -- outside 81%
- 1v0 Walrein (rank 40) -- outside 87%
1v1 (8)
- 1v1 Zygarde (Complete Forme) (rank 7) -- outside 15%; material
- 1v1 Skeledirge (rank 20) -- outside 30%
- 1v1 Dusknoir (rank 24) -- outside 33%
- 1v1 Runerigus (rank 43) -- outside 36%
- 1v1 Melmetal (rank 5) -- outside 43%
- 1v1 Florges (rank 12) -- outside 49%
- 1v1 Deoxys (Defense) (rank 42) -- outside 58%
- 1v1 Cresselia (rank 35) -- outside 87%
1v2 (6)
- 1v2 Cresselia (rank 35) -- outside 39%
- 1v2 Clefable (rank 37) -- outside 40%
- 1v2 Corviknight (Shadow) (rank 4) -- outside 46%
- 1v2 Rillaboom (rank 21) -- outside 65%
- 1v2 Corviknight (rank 2) -- outside 68%
- 1v2 Registeel (rank 28) -- outside 90%
2v0 (3)
- 2v0 Steelix (Shadow) (rank 47) -- outside 8%; material; holds in 2 of 4 opponent-IV modes
- 2v0 Dondozo (rank 26) -- outside 92%
- 2v0 Steelix (rank 44) -- outside 96%
2v1 (6)
- 2v1 Jellicent (rank 16) -- outside 11%; holds in 2 of 4 opponent-IV modes
- 2v1 Swampert (rank 48) -- outside 31%
- 2v1 Blastoise (rank 29) -- outside 43%
- 2v1 Zygarde (Complete Forme) (rank 7) -- outside 78%
- 2v1 Steelix (Shadow) (rank 47) -- outside 79%
- 2v1 Cramorant (rank 18) -- outside 87%
2v2 (4)
- 2v2 Snorlax (rank 11) -- outside 16%
- 2v2 Skeledirge (rank 20) -- outside 23%
- 2v2 Moltres (Galarian) (rank 13) -- outside 60%
- 2v2 Rillaboom (rank 21) -- outside 92%

Members (86), highest stat product first

Build 1 wide

Atk >= 188.00 + Def/HP staircase (6 steps)

215

7 of 11 in 1v1 shields; 43 of 69 overall, 2 of them material; 32 hold under every opponent-IV mode

6: 0v1 Cresselia (Shadow), 1v1 Zygarde (Complete Forme), +4 more

What the wider rule keeps and gives up

HP	Defense floor at that HP and above
163	117
164	117
165	116.9
166	116
167	114.8
168	113

The rule fits exactly: these spreads and no others.

The looser target around Build 1, for a reader who cannot hit Build 1 exactly. It holds every one of Build 1's 86 spreads in 215 of its own, and keeps 7 of Build 1's 8 guaranteed matchups in 1v1 shields (43 of its 49 overall, 2 of them material).

The 6 it gives up out here: 2v0 Steelix (Shadow) (grid 10%), 2v1 Jellicent (grid 12%) and 1v1 Zygarde (Complete Forme) (grid 16%), and 3 more.

Build 2 (fork)

no two- or three-stat rule fits; 377 spreads by list

377

6 of 11 in 1v1 shields; 29 of 69 overall, 0 of them material; 18 hold under every opponent-IV mode

0v0 Florges (outside 24%)

20: 0v0 Corviknight, 0v0 Swampert, +18 more

12/12/13 (33 of 63 matchups)

What Build 2 guarantees (6 of 11 in 1v1 shields; 29 of 69 overall), its 377 members

all inside attack IV 11-15, defense IV 0-15, HP IV 8-15; that box also holds 263 spreads that are not members

No two- or three-stat rule fits it; the list is the build.

0v0 (8)
- 0v0 Florges (rank 12) -- outside 24%; holds in 2 of 4 opponent-IV modes
- 0v0 Moltres (Galarian) (rank 13) -- outside 52%; holds in 2 of 4 opponent-IV modes
- 0v0 Muk (Alolan) (rank 36) -- outside 79%
- 0v0 Melmetal (rank 5) -- outside 82%
- 0v0 Walrein (rank 40) -- outside 86%
- 0v0 Clefable (rank 37) -- outside 92%; holds in 2 of 4 opponent-IV modes
- 0v0 Ninetales (Alolan) (rank 25) -- outside 93%
- 0v0 Ninetales (Alolan) (Shadow) (rank 30) -- outside 95%
0v1 (1)
- 0v1 Ninetales (rank 34) -- outside 90%
1v0 (6)
- 1v0 Feraligatr (rank 15) -- outside 38%; holds in 2 of 4 opponent-IV modes
- 1v0 Seaking (rank 45) -- outside 45%
- 1v0 Swampert (rank 48) -- outside 50%; holds in 2 of 4 opponent-IV modes
- 1v0 Regidrago (rank 33) -- outside 59%; holds in 2 of 4 opponent-IV modes
- 1v0 Florges (rank 12) -- outside 79%; holds in 2 of 4 opponent-IV modes
- 1v0 Walrein (rank 40) -- outside 86%
1v1 (6)
- 1v1 Skeledirge (rank 20) -- outside 24%
- 1v1 Runerigus (rank 43) -- outside 31%; holds in 2 of 4 opponent-IV modes
- 1v1 Melmetal (rank 5) -- outside 38%
- 1v1 Florges (rank 12) -- outside 45%
- 1v1 Deoxys (Defense) (rank 42) -- outside 55%
- 1v1 Cresselia (rank 35) -- outside 86%; holds in 2 of 4 opponent-IV modes
1v2 (2)
- 1v2 Cresselia (rank 35) -- outside 34%; holds in 2 of 4 opponent-IV modes
- 1v2 Registeel (rank 28) -- outside 90%
2v0 (1)
- 2v0 Steelix (rank 44) -- outside 96%
2v1 (3)
- 2v1 Blastoise (rank 29) -- outside 38%
- 2v1 Zygarde (Complete Forme) (rank 7) -- outside 76%; holds in 2 of 4 opponent-IV modes
- 2v1 Steelix (Shadow) (rank 47) -- outside 78%
2v2 (2)
- 2v2 Moltres (Galarian) (rank 13) -- outside 57%
- 2v2 Rillaboom (rank 21) -- outside 91%

Members (377), highest stat product first

Rates: outside N% is the share of the spreads NOT in that build that win the same matchup anyway; grid N% (the Notable spreads list and the cards at the top of the page) is the share of all the spreads on the grid. Weight follows the rate: bold = fewer than half of them win it; bold and underlined = fewer than a quarter; bold, underlined and italic = fewer than a tenth; dim = more than nine in ten win it anyway.

Each build's guarantee list is sorted by outside rate: how often the spreads NOT in that build win the same matchup anyway. The lower the rate, the rarer the guarantee.

Is mine in one of these?

Paste your Poke Genie CSV, or add one spread by hand, in Check my collection below; the answer comes back here, grouped by build, and your collection stays in your browser.

Shield scenario:

Y: Color:

Stat-product rank against matchups won with PvPoke-default opponent IVs at the league cap over the whole opponent pool and, with Shield scenario on all, every baked shield state -- the view the single-stat line in the expander below was derived on. The Shield scenario selector on this row is the section's own; the scatter's dropdowns and the opponent filter do not drive this panel.

SP1 15/15/14 -- the only spread this page names

Notable spreads

Every single spread this page names, on one list: the spread that wins the most matchups, the one with the highest avg battle score, SP1, and each build's most-winning member. Entries whose decision-matchup wins overlap by 90% or more are merged, because two spreads that win the same matchups are one offer.

15/15/14 -- Most matchups won (all nine shield scenarios) and highest avg battle score / Stat-product rank-1 (SP1) / Build 1's most-winning member

in: It is a member of Build 1, which guarantees 53 of the 64 decision matchups it wins.
rarest wins: 2v2 Dusknoir (Shadow) (grid 2%), 2v1 Steelix (grid 2%) and 0v1 Melmetal (grid 2%)

What else is true of 15/15/14

13/15/14 (Build 2's most-winning member) differs from it by 4 decision matchups, so this entry is the offer and they are spellings of it.

What to do with this: If you already have one of these spreads, build it: each is the top of this grid on the measure that named it. If you are hunting, hunt a build instead.

Rocket-grunt encounters (this is a shadow, so it cannot be traded) needed to meet one named spread out of the 4096 on this grid: 2839 for a 50% chance, 5678 for a 75% chance. Model: the grunt IV floor is not verified here, and the count assumes uniform-random IVs over the whole grid.

The single-stat line

None of the 6 movesets on this page carries a line. This page is Brave Bird, Fly, and it carries no line; Brave Bird, Flame Charge, Fly, Hurricane, Flame Charge, Hurricane, Fire Blast, Fly and Flame Charge, Fly carry no line.

Line: none
Closest: Atk >= 185.53 -- 1v0 Seaking, rank 45, 1 spread of 4096 on the wrong side
SP1: 15/15/14 -- wins 292 of 567
Alternative: none (the widest pair that buys anything is already 68.8% of the grid)
Decision width: 0 matchups

No HP threshold decides a matchup for Talonflame (Shadow) running Incinerate / Brave Bird, Fly in Ultra League; build for stat product. The closest thing to a line is 185.53 attack in the 1v0 against Seaking (rank 45). Nothing below it wins, and 2047 of the 2048 spreads at or above it do. The attack and defense axes are not tested on this grid: they carry 16 distinct attainable values in all, and a line needs 20 of them below it.

Bulk does not separate either: the only defense-and-HP pair that buys anything, 112.03 defense, is already 68.8% of the grid. SP1, 15/15/14 at L50.0, wins 292 of its 567 matchups, and is inside that pair. No spread on this grid wins more matchups than SP1 does, so the whole IV decision here is zero matchups wide.

rank-1

Shield scenario:

Why these regions

Why these regions and not others. The set panel below is every candidate region the builds were cut from. Under it, the same grid grouped by which contested matchups a spread wins -- its win/loss fingerprint, not its score -- drawn on the stat planes where a region is a shape; crossing a breakpoint or bulkpoint moves a spread to the next cluster.

The set panel (an UpSet plot: a bar chart of set intersections, Lex et al. 2014). Left: the named sets the lattice was built from (rows, labelled 'spreads in the set / decision matchups every member of it wins') and the candidate regions made by intersecting them (columns -- bar height is spreads, the number above it is decision matchups guaranteed in the shield scenarios this setting counts, and a coloured column is one of the builds in the table above). A dot means the region sits inside that row's set. The letters index THIS setting's own eight sets and are re-assigned when the Build criteria change, so compare the row names across Build criteria settings, not the letters.

clusters

Shield scenario:

Lattice view: 100% of this dive's IV spreads sit at the same level (L50) -- this species does not reach the league CP cap, so it is pinned at the max power-up level. At a fixed level each battle stat tracks a single IV, so attack / defense / HP each take only ~16 values and the panels look like a sparse grid: each visible point stacks the spreads that share a stat pair (up to 16, one per remaining IV). This is expected, not missing data -- the clustering still runs on the full set of win/loss fingerprints.

Cluster	IVs	atk (mean)	def (mean)	hp (mean)	SP rank	contested wins (mean)	gains vs previous cluster
C0	390	180.0	110.2	160	#2999-#4096	4.3	-
C1	416	178.2	114.7	162	#796-#3955	6.4	Seismitoad (+94pp), Corviknight (+69pp), Melmetal (+67pp), Shadow Ampharos (+48pp); trades away Walrein (-51pp), Alolan Muk (-51pp), Alolan Ninetales (-30pp)
C2	669	186.7	109.9	161	#1499-#4025	8.3	Alolan Muk (+97pp), Walrein (+83pp), Galarian Moltres (+78pp), Alolan Ninetales (+46pp); trades away Corviknight (-83pp), Shadow Ampharos (-46pp), Seismitoad (-37pp), Skeledirge (-15pp)
C3	1601	183.8	115.5	163	#51-#3692	9.9	Corviknight (+93pp), Skeledirge (+60pp), Shadow Ampharos (+46pp), Seismitoad (+37pp); trades away Florges (-31pp), Galarian Moltres (-31pp), Clefable (-16pp)
C4	1020	190.6	114.7	163	#1-#3038	11.1	Florges (+96pp), Swampert (+95pp), Galarian Moltres (+52pp), Clefable (+16pp); trades away Seismitoad (-83pp), Skeledirge (-45pp)

Contested opponent	C0	C1	C2	C3	C4
Galarian Moltres	0%	0%	78%	48%	100%
Seismitoad	5%	99%	62%	100%	17%
Skeledirge	0%	20%	5%	66%	21%
Corviknight	17%	86%	2%	96%	83%
Florges	0%	0%	34%	3%	99%
Swampert	0%	0%	0%	0%	95%
Alolan Muk	51%	0%	97%	91%	100%
Melmetal	0%	67%	100%	92%	100%
Walrein	68%	17%	100%	97%	100%
Shadow Ampharos	52%	100%	54%	100%	100%
Clefable	100%	91%	100%	84%	100%
Alolan Ninetales	84%	54%	100%	100%	100%
Shadow Cresselia	0%	8%	0%	11%	0%
Shadow Alolan Ninetales	55%	98%	100%	100%	100%

Contested opponent	Win rate	Best single-stat rule	Rule accuracy	Named anchor?
Galarian Moltres	56%	wins iff atk >= 184.53	100%	named
Seismitoad	64%	wins iff atk < 189.57	82%	named
Skeledirge	34%	wins iff def >= 117.64	73%	named
Corviknight	69%	wins iff def >= 112.04	100%	named
Florges	31%	wins iff atk >= 188.56	100%	named
Swampert	24%	wins iff atk >= 188.56	92%	named
Alolan Muk	81%	wins iff atk >= 180.50	100%	named
Melmetal	84%	wins iff sp >= 3,239,702	91%	named
Walrein	88%	wins iff atk >= 179.49	100%	named
Shadow Ampharos	88%	wins iff sp >= 3,175,046	92%	named
Clefable	93%	no single-stat rule beats the base rate	-	named
Alolan Ninetales	94%	wins iff atk >= 178.48	100%	named
Shadow Cresselia	5%	no single-stat rule beats the base rate	-	named
Shadow Alolan Ninetales	95%	wins iff sp >= 3,157,672	98%	named

Cluster	IVs	atk (mean)	def (mean)	hp (mean)	SP rank	contested wins (mean)	gains vs previous cluster
C0	784	185.0	109.6	160	#1251-#4096	0.9	-
C1	1120	184.1	111.9	163	#437-#4031	2.6	Corviknight (+90pp), Rillaboom (+77pp)
C2	1922	184.8	116.1	162	#51-#3901	4.2	Shadow Cresselia (+99pp), Registeel (+27pp), Rillaboom (+21pp)
C3	270	190.6	117.4	165	#1-#807	6.0	Skeledirge (+100pp), Registeel (+49pp), Melmetal (+24pp)

Contested opponent	C0	C1	C2	C3
Shadow Cresselia	8%	1%	100%	98%
Rillaboom	0%	77%	98%	100%
Corviknight	0%	90%	100%	100%
Registeel	0%	0%	27%	76%
Ninetales	78%	90%	95%	100%
Skeledirge	0%	0%	0%	100%
Melmetal	0%	0%	1%	26%
Seismitoad	8%	3%	0%	0%

Contested opponent	Win rate	Best single-stat rule	Rule accuracy	Named anchor?
Shadow Cresselia	55%	wins iff def >= 114.14	95%	named
Rillaboom	74%	wins iff def >= 111.34	99%	named
Corviknight	78%	wins iff def >= 111.34	91%	named
Registeel	18%	wins iff sp >= 3,613,981	89%	named
Ninetales	91%	wins iff sp >= 3,202,023	94%	named
Skeledirge	7%	wins iff sp >= 3,652,550	97%	named
Melmetal	2%	wins iff sp >= 3,721,707	99%	named
Seismitoad	2%	no single-stat rule beats the base rate	-	named

Cluster	IVs	atk (mean)	def (mean)	hp (mean)	SP rank	contested wins (mean)	gains vs previous cluster
C0	2048	181.0	113.8	162	#163-#4096	5.6	-
C1	2048	189.1	113.8	162	#1-#3950	7.2	Seaking (+100pp), Feraligatr (+88pp), Regidrago (+75pp), Ampharos (+75pp); trades away Snorlax (-100pp), Guzzlord (-62pp), Deoxys (Defense) (-57pp), Florges (-38pp)

Contested opponent	C0	C1
Snorlax	100%	0%
Seaking	0%	100%
Swampert	34%	75%
Feraligatr	0%	88%
Regidrago	25%	100%
Ampharos	25%	100%
Guzzlord	100%	38%
Deoxys (Defense)	100%	43%
Florges	100%	62%
Walrein	75%	100%
Mimikyu	0%	12%

Contested opponent	Win rate	Best single-stat rule	Rule accuracy	Named anchor?
Snorlax	50%	wins iff atk < 185.54	100%	named
Seaking	50%	wins iff atk >= 185.54	100%	named
Swampert	55%	wins iff sp >= 3,387,341	79%	named
Feraligatr	44%	wins iff atk >= 186.55	100%	named
Regidrago	62%	wins iff atk >= 183.52	100%	named
Ampharos	62%	wins iff atk >= 183.52	100%	named
Guzzlord	69%	wins iff atk < 188.56	100%	named
Deoxys (Defense)	72%	wins iff sp < 3,565,881	83%	named
Florges	81%	no single-stat rule beats the base rate	-	named
Walrein	88%	wins iff atk >= 179.49	100%	named
Mimikyu	6%	wins iff atk >= 192.60	100%	named

Cluster	IVs	atk (mean)	def (mean)	hp (mean)	SP rank	contested wins (mean)	gains vs previous cluster
C0	2174	181.3	113.8	162	#79-#4096	2.4	-
C1	1922	189.3	113.8	162	#1-#3909	6.9	Florges (+94pp), Melmetal (+91pp), Runerigus (+80pp), Skeledirge (+67pp)

Contested opponent	C0	C1
Florges	6%	100%
Seismitoad	27%	72%
Melmetal	1%	92%
Deoxys (Defense)	38%	83%
Runerigus	0%	80%
Dusknoir	34%	34%
Skeledirge	0%	67%
Shadow Walrein	18%	15%
Zygarde (Complete Forme)	14%	19%
Alolan Ninetales	18%	15%
Cresselia	76%	100%
Swampert	3%	14%

Contested opponent	Win rate	Best single-stat rule	Rule accuracy	Named anchor?
Florges	50%	wins iff atk >= 185.54	100%	named
Seismitoad	48%	wins iff sp >= 3,418,728	88%	named
Melmetal	44%	wins iff atk >= 186.55	100%	named
Deoxys (Defense)	59%	wins iff atk >= 182.51	85%	named
Runerigus	38%	wins iff atk >= 187.55	100%	named
Dusknoir	34%	wins iff hp >= 164	85%	named
Skeledirge	31%	wins iff atk >= 188.56	100%	named
Shadow Walrein	17%	wins iff def >= 116.94	92%	named
Zygarde (Complete Forme)	16%	wins iff sp >= 3,648,668	87%	named
Alolan Ninetales	16%	wins iff def >= 118.34	96%	named
Cresselia	88%	wins iff atk >= 179.49	100%	named
Swampert	8%	wins iff sp >= 3,691,264	94%	named

Cluster	IVs	atk (mean)	def (mean)	hp (mean)	SP rank	contested wins (mean)	gains vs previous cluster
C0	2395	185.0	112.4	160	#392-#4096	2.4	-
C1	1701	185.1	115.7	165	#1-#3552	5.4	Clefable (+89pp), Shadow Corviknight (+87pp), Corviknight (+41pp), Rillaboom (+39pp)

Contested opponent	C0	C1
Shadow Corviknight	11%	97%
Clefable	4%	94%
Cresselia	38%	43%
Rillaboom	50%	89%
Corviknight	52%	93%
Deoxys (Defense)	0%	29%
Registeel	84%	100%

Contested opponent	Win rate	Best single-stat rule	Rule accuracy	Named anchor?
Shadow Corviknight	47%	wins iff sp >= 3,413,178	83%	named
Clefable	41%	wins iff sp >= 3,457,557	82%	named
Cresselia	40%	wins iff atk >= 186.55	96%	named
Rillaboom	66%	wins iff def >= 111.34	91%	named
Corviknight	69%	wins iff def >= 112.04	100%	named
Deoxys (Defense)	12%	wins iff sp >= 3,657,397	91%	named
Registeel	91%	wins iff sp >= 3,195,998	96%	named

Cluster	IVs	atk (mean)	def (mean)	hp (mean)	SP rank	contested wins (mean)	gains vs previous cluster
C0	723	183.3	110.9	158	#1503-#4096	2.4	-
C1	934	189.4	114.0	162	#8-#3718	5.4	Zygarde (Complete Forme) (+88pp), Blastoise (+71pp), Swampert (+67pp), Shadow Steelix (+65pp); trades away Bellibolt (-63pp), Cramorant (-25pp)
C2	1987	182.0	114.6	163	#79-#3957	6.2	Bellibolt (+100pp), Seaking (+86pp), Cramorant (+25pp), Ampharos (+15pp); trades away Blastoise (-90pp), Swampert (-54pp)
C3	452	192.1	114.4	162	#1-#3050	7.4	Jellicent (+100pp), Blastoise (+90pp), Swampert (+87pp); trades away Seaking (-86pp), Cramorant (-64pp)

Contested opponent	C0	C1	C2	C3
Blastoise	29%	100%	10%	100%
Seaking	0%	0%	86%	0%
Swampert	0%	67%	13%	100%
Bellibolt	63%	0%	100%	100%
Ampharos	21%	80%	95%	88%
Zygarde (Complete Forme)	12%	100%	87%	100%
Shadow Steelix	18%	84%	99%	86%
Primarina	0%	17%	20%	18%
Cramorant	100%	75%	100%	36%
Jellicent	0%	6%	0%	100%
Guzzlord	0%	9%	4%	9%
Steelix	0%	3%	3%	3%

Contested opponent	Win rate	Best single-stat rule	Rule accuracy	Named anchor?
Blastoise	44%	wins iff atk >= 186.55	100%	named
Seaking	42%	wins iff atk < 187.55	79%	named
Swampert	32%	wins iff atk >= 189.57	93%	named
Bellibolt	71%	wins iff atk < 187.55	86%	named
Ampharos	78%	wins iff sp >= 3,253,148	86%	named
Zygarde (Complete Forme)	78%	wins iff sp >= 3,268,317	88%	named
Shadow Steelix	80%	wins iff sp >= 3,233,986	86%	named
Primarina	16%	wins iff sp >= 3,637,213	89%	named
Cramorant	87%	wins iff atk < 190.58	94%	named
Jellicent	12%	wins iff atk >= 191.59	100%	named
Guzzlord	5%	wins iff sp >= 3,701,984	97%	named
Steelix	2%	wins iff sp >= 3,786,493	98%	named

Cluster	IVs	atk (mean)	def (mean)	hp (mean)	SP rank	contested wins (mean)	gains vs previous cluster
C0	4051	185.0	113.7	162	#17-#4096	2.9	-
C1	45	191.3	118.0	168	#1-#130	9.9	Walrein (+94pp), Shadow Dusknoir (+86pp), Snorlax (+83pp), Annihilape (Close Combat+Rage Fist) (+78pp)

Contested opponent	C0	C1
Galarian Moltres	60%	100%
Seismitoad	34%	100%
Skeledirge	24%	100%
Annihilape	24%	100%
Annihilape (Close Combat+Rage Fist)	22%	100%
Snorlax	17%	100%
Bellibolt	11%	58%
Rillaboom	92%	100%
Walrein	6%	100%
Alolan Ninetales	4%	47%
Shadow Dusknoir	1%	87%

Contested opponent	Win rate	Best single-stat rule	Rule accuracy	Named anchor?
Galarian Moltres	61%	wins iff hp >= 163	86%	named
Seismitoad	35%	wins iff sp >= 3,480,357	88%	named
Skeledirge	25%	wins iff atk >= 189.57	100%	named
Annihilape	25%	wins iff def >= 116.94	100%	named
Annihilape (Close Combat+Rage Fist)	23%	wins iff def >= 116.94	98%	named
Snorlax	18%	wins iff sp >= 3,590,516	90%	named
Bellibolt	11%	wins iff atk >= 191.59	99%	named
Rillaboom	92%	wins iff sp >= 3,175,642	95%	named
Walrein	7%	wins iff sp >= 3,721,707	95%	named
Alolan Ninetales	4%	wins iff sp >= 3,726,066	96%	named
Shadow Dusknoir	2%	wins iff sp >= 3,761,139	99%	named

all scenarios: 75 win/loss bits (one per contested opponent per scenario) concatenated across 7 of 9 shield scenarios (0v2, 2v0 excluded as degenerate); 1882 distinct win patterns; K=2 clusters (silhouette 0.41); split at atk 185.03.

Sharpest single scenarios on this page: 1v0 shields (K=2, silhouette 0.71 over 11 contested opponents, split atk 185.03) and 0v1 shields (K=4, silhouette 0.61 over 8 contested opponents, split def 113.79) -- pick them in the dropdown above.

Cluster	IVs	atk (mean)	def (mean)	hp (mean)	SP rank	contested wins (mean)	gains vs previous cluster
C0	2048	181.0	113.8	162	#163-#4096	28.8	-
C1	2048	189.1	113.8	162	#1-#3950	41.9	Florges [1v1] (+100pp), Seaking [1v0] (+100pp), Galarian Moltres [0v0] (+88pp), Feraligatr [1v0] (+88pp); trades away Snorlax [1v0] (-100pp), Guzzlord [1v0] (-62pp), Deoxys (Defense) [1v0] (-57pp), Seaking [2v1] (-50pp)

Per-cluster win rates vs each contested opponent

Contested opponent	C0	C1
Snorlax [1v0]	100%	0%
Florges [1v1]	0%	100%
Seaking [1v0]	0%	100%
Seismitoad [1v1]	26%	70%
Shadow Corviknight [1v2]	42%	51%
Swampert [1v0]	34%	75%
Shadow Cresselia [0v1]	50%	60%
Galarian Moltres [0v0]	12%	100%
Feraligatr [1v0]	0%	88%
Melmetal [1v1]	0%	88%
Blastoise [2v1]	0%	88%
Seaking [2v1]	67%	17%
Clefable [1v2]	38%	45%
Deoxys (Defense) [1v1]	36%	82%
Cresselia [1v2]	0%	80%
Galarian Moltres [2v2]	59%	62%
Regidrago [1v0]	25%	100%
Ampharos [1v0]	25%	100%
Runerigus [1v1]	0%	75%
Seismitoad [0v0]	77%	51%
Seismitoad [2v2]	17%	53%
Rillaboom [1v2]	57%	75%
Dusknoir [1v1]	34%	34%
Skeledirge [0v0]	39%	29%
Swampert [2v1]	10%	55%
Corviknight [0v0]	69%	69%
Florges [0v0]	0%	62%
Guzzlord [1v0]	100%	38%
Skeledirge [1v1]	0%	62%
Corviknight [1v2]	69%	69%
Bellibolt [2v1]	94%	47%
Deoxys (Defense) [1v0]	100%	43%
Rillaboom [0v1]	74%	74%
Skeledirge [2v2]	0%	50%
Annihilape [2v2]	25%	25%
Swampert [0v0]	0%	47%
Annihilape (Close Combat+Rage Fist) [2v2]	23%	23%
Ampharos [2v1]	78%	78%
Zygarde (Complete Forme) [2v1]	71%	85%
Corviknight [0v1]	78%	78%
Shadow Steelix [2v1]	80%	80%
Alolan Muk [0v0]	62%	100%
Florges [1v0]	100%	62%
Snorlax [2v2]	0%	36%
Registeel [0v1]	18%	18%
Shadow Walrein [1v1]	17%	17%
Zygarde (Complete Forme) [1v1]	15%	18%
Alolan Ninetales [1v1]	16%	16%
Melmetal [0v0]	68%	100%
Primarina [2v1]	16%	16%
Cramorant [2v1]	100%	74%
Walrein [0v0]	75%	100%
Walrein [1v0]	75%	100%
Cresselia [1v1]	75%	100%
Jellicent [2v1]	0%	25%
Shadow Ampharos [0v0]	88%	88%
Deoxys (Defense) [1v2]	12%	12%
Bellibolt [2v2]	0%	23%
Ninetales [0v1]	81%	100%
Registeel [1v2]	81%	100%
Swampert [1v1]	3%	13%
Rillaboom [2v2]	84%	100%
Clefable [0v0]	86%	100%
Walrein [2v2]	7%	7%
Skeledirge [0v1]	0%	13%
Alolan Ninetales [0v0]	88%	100%
Mimikyu [1v0]	0%	12%
Shadow Cresselia [0v0]	10%	0%
Guzzlord [2v1]	2%	8%
Shadow Alolan Ninetales [0v0]	91%	100%
Alolan Ninetales [2v2]	0%	8%
Melmetal [0v1]	0%	5%
Seismitoad [0v1]	2%	2%
Steelix [2v1]	2%	2%
Shadow Dusknoir [2v2]	0%	4%

Green tint = the cluster mostly wins that matchup, red tint = mostly loses; the percentage is the share of the cluster's IVs that win.

Stat rules that reproduce the clusters (in-sample accuracy 100.0%)

atk < 185.03:
  -> cluster C0 (n=2048)
atk >= 185.03:
  -> cluster C1 (n=2048)

Depth-3 decision tree over (atk, def, hp). Accuracy is in-sample (regularized by a minimum leaf size), not cross-validated -- read it as "how well the clusters reduce to stat regions", not a prediction claim.

Matchup flip thresholds (candidate anchors)

The single stat and threshold that most accurately predicts win/loss across all IVs -- misclassifications allowed, so it is a diagnostic and a candidate anchor, not a build target. The "flips at" cutoffs under "Threats where your build choice matters" answer the other question (the lowest cutoff whose 75/25 split is clean) and are usually higher for the same opponent.

Contested opponent	Win rate	Best single-stat rule	Rule accuracy	Named anchor?
Snorlax [1v0]	50%	wins iff atk < 185.54	100%	named
Florges [1v1]	50%	wins iff atk >= 185.54	100%	named
Seaking [1v0]	50%	wins iff atk >= 185.54	100%	named
Seismitoad [1v1]	48%	wins iff sp >= 3,418,728	88%	named
Shadow Corviknight [1v2]	47%	wins iff sp >= 3,413,178	83%	named
Swampert [1v0]	55%	wins iff sp >= 3,387,341	79%	named
Shadow Cresselia [0v1]	55%	wins iff def >= 114.14	95%	named
Galarian Moltres [0v0]	56%	wins iff atk >= 184.53	100%	named
Feraligatr [1v0]	44%	wins iff atk >= 186.55	100%	named
Melmetal [1v1]	44%	wins iff atk >= 186.55	100%	named
Blastoise [2v1]	44%	wins iff atk >= 186.55	100%	named
Seaking [2v1]	42%	wins iff atk < 187.55	79%	named
Clefable [1v2]	41%	wins iff sp >= 3,457,557	82%	named
Deoxys (Defense) [1v1]	59%	wins iff atk >= 182.51	85%	named
Cresselia [1v2]	40%	wins iff atk >= 186.55	96%	named
Galarian Moltres [2v2]	61%	wins iff hp >= 163	86%	named
Regidrago [1v0]	62%	wins iff atk >= 183.52	100%	named
Ampharos [1v0]	62%	wins iff atk >= 183.52	100%	named
Runerigus [1v1]	38%	wins iff atk >= 187.55	100%	named
Seismitoad [0v0]	64%	wins iff atk < 189.57	82%	named
Seismitoad [2v2]	35%	wins iff sp >= 3,480,357	88%	named
Rillaboom [1v2]	66%	wins iff def >= 111.34	91%	named
Dusknoir [1v1]	34%	wins iff hp >= 164	85%	named
Skeledirge [0v0]	34%	wins iff def >= 117.64	73%	named
Swampert [2v1]	32%	wins iff atk >= 189.57	93%	named
Corviknight [0v0]	69%	wins iff def >= 112.04	100%	named
Florges [0v0]	31%	wins iff atk >= 188.56	100%	named
Guzzlord [1v0]	69%	wins iff atk < 188.56	100%	named
Skeledirge [1v1]	31%	wins iff atk >= 188.56	100%	named
Corviknight [1v2]	69%	wins iff def >= 112.04	100%	named
Bellibolt [2v1]	71%	wins iff atk < 187.55	86%	named
Deoxys (Defense) [1v0]	72%	wins iff sp < 3,565,881	83%	named
Rillaboom [0v1]	74%	wins iff def >= 111.34	99%	named
Skeledirge [2v2]	25%	wins iff atk >= 189.57	100%	named
Annihilape [2v2]	25%	wins iff def >= 116.94	100%	named
Swampert [0v0]	24%	wins iff atk >= 188.56	92%	named
Annihilape (Close Combat+Rage Fist) [2v2]	23%	wins iff def >= 116.94	98%	named
Ampharos [2v1]	78%	wins iff sp >= 3,253,148	86%	named
Zygarde (Complete Forme) [2v1]	78%	wins iff sp >= 3,268,317	88%	named
Corviknight [0v1]	78%	wins iff def >= 111.34	91%	named
Shadow Steelix [2v1]	80%	wins iff sp >= 3,233,986	86%	named
Alolan Muk [0v0]	81%	wins iff atk >= 180.50	100%	named
Florges [1v0]	81%	no single-stat rule beats the base rate	-	named
Snorlax [2v2]	18%	wins iff sp >= 3,590,516	90%	named
Registeel [0v1]	18%	wins iff sp >= 3,613,981	89%	named
Shadow Walrein [1v1]	17%	wins iff def >= 116.94	92%	named
Zygarde (Complete Forme) [1v1]	16%	wins iff sp >= 3,648,668	87%	named
Alolan Ninetales [1v1]	16%	wins iff def >= 118.34	96%	named
Melmetal [0v0]	84%	wins iff sp >= 3,239,702	91%	named
Primarina [2v1]	16%	wins iff sp >= 3,637,213	89%	named
Cramorant [2v1]	87%	wins iff atk < 190.58	94%	named
Walrein [0v0]	88%	wins iff atk >= 179.49	100%	named
Walrein [1v0]	88%	wins iff atk >= 179.49	100%	named
Cresselia [1v1]	88%	wins iff atk >= 179.49	100%	named
Jellicent [2v1]	12%	wins iff atk >= 191.59	100%	named
Shadow Ampharos [0v0]	88%	wins iff sp >= 3,175,046	92%	named
Deoxys (Defense) [1v2]	12%	wins iff sp >= 3,657,397	91%	named
Bellibolt [2v2]	11%	wins iff atk >= 191.59	99%	named
Ninetales [0v1]	91%	wins iff sp >= 3,202,023	94%	named
Registeel [1v2]	91%	wins iff sp >= 3,195,998	96%	named
Swampert [1v1]	8%	wins iff sp >= 3,691,264	94%	named
Rillaboom [2v2]	92%	wins iff sp >= 3,175,642	95%	named
Clefable [0v0]	93%	no single-stat rule beats the base rate	-	named
Walrein [2v2]	7%	wins iff sp >= 3,721,707	95%	named
Skeledirge [0v1]	7%	wins iff sp >= 3,652,550	97%	named
Alolan Ninetales [0v0]	94%	wins iff atk >= 178.48	100%	named
Mimikyu [1v0]	6%	wins iff atk >= 192.60	100%	named
Shadow Cresselia [0v0]	5%	no single-stat rule beats the base rate	-	named
Guzzlord [2v1]	5%	wins iff sp >= 3,701,984	97%	named
Shadow Alolan Ninetales [0v0]	95%	wins iff sp >= 3,157,672	98%	named
Alolan Ninetales [2v2]	4%	wins iff sp >= 3,726,066	96%	named
Melmetal [0v1]	2%	wins iff sp >= 3,721,707	99%	named
Seismitoad [0v1]	2%	no single-stat rule beats the base rate	-	named
Steelix [2v1]	2%	wins iff sp >= 3,786,493	98%	named
Shadow Dusknoir [2v2]	2%	wins iff sp >= 3,761,139	99%	named

Rows are ordered by discriminating power (win rate closest to 50%). "Rule accuracy" is how well that single stat threshold predicts the win/loss across all IVs, and is only shown when it beats always-predicting the majority outcome; high-accuracy UNNAMED rows are candidate new anchors. "Named" means an authored anchor names that opponent (alt-moveset / IV-variant rows inherit their base opponent's anchor).

Cluster	IVs	atk (mean)	def (mean)	hp (mean)	SP rank	contested wins (mean)	gains vs previous cluster
C0	2816	182.5	113.8	162	#51-#4096	13.7	-
C1	1280	190.6	113.8	162	#1-#3793	22.9	Florges [0v0] (+100pp), Skeledirge [1v1] (+100pp), Runerigus [1v1] (+91pp), Melmetal [1v1] (+82pp); trades away Seismitoad [0v0] (-52pp), Skeledirge [0v0] (-20pp)

Computed at bake time for moveset INCINERATE / BRAVE_BIRD, FLY with PvPoke default opponent IVs and bait-selective shield play, over the full opponent pool; this does not follow the scatter's moveset / opponent-IV / bait dropdowns or the opponent filter.

How this works

Per shield scenario: an opponent is contested when between 2% and 98% of this dive's IV spreads beat it (everyone else is settled and can't distinguish IVs). Each IV's fingerprint is its win/loss vector over those opponents; fingerprints are clustered bottom-up (agglomerative, Hamming distance, average linkage). The number of clusters, K, is chosen by silhouette -- a 0-to-1 score of how cleanly the fingerprints separate, where above about 0.5 the clusters are distinct groups and below 0.30 the headline says "weak separation" and the clusters are tendencies rather than tiers -- under a parsimony floor (a split must keep every cluster above a minimum size, and the smallest K in 2-6 within 0.03 of the best silhouette wins). Silhouettes are comparable between the scenarios on this page, not between species. Clusters are ordered weakest to strongest by mean contested wins. The scatter panels project the same 4,096 IV spreads onto each pair of battle stats; clusters that overlap completely in score separate cleanly there. A scenario is reported as degenerate (no clustering attempted) when it has fewer than 6 contested opponents or fewer than 8 distinct win patterns -- on that little data every candidate K scores near-perfectly, which is a measurement artifact and not structure -- and its bits are left out of the all scenarios fingerprint. A scenario that clears the floor but has no split keeping every cluster above the minimum size is reported as fragmented instead, and its bits still count toward the combined view. The all scenarios bits are ordered most-discriminating first, which is the tie-break the linkage uses when several merges are equally close. Replaces the retired score-gap cluster heuristic (2026-07), which usually (~77% of sampled runs) fired on float-level jitter in the opponent-averaged score, and even when it did catch a real tier could not name which matchups defined it.

Evidence

1. Header

Talonflame (Shadow) -- Ultra League

INCINERATE / BRAVE_BIRD, FLY (arm 1 of 6)

Level view: L50. Bake 2026-09-27. Blob 20260927_155824_Talonflame_ultra_shadow.replay.pkl.gz.

Opponent pool: 63 entries (Custom pool from ul_top60.txt (60 mons)). Grid: 4096 IV spreads x 9 shield scenarios.

Opponent-IV settings baked: PvPoke-default opponent IVs; PvPoke-default opponent IVs, focal never baits; stat-product rank-1 opponent IVs; stat-product rank-1 opponent IVs, focal never baits.

Rankings snapshot 2026-09-27.

Stats are shadow-effective (attack x1.2 applied); the charge-move priority line is not (see Provenance).

2. Floor

21 clean cuts exist on this dive and none is a floor: no exact cut, one-sided gate or near-exact split clears every gate with a pool share inside [25%, 60%] of the grid.

21 single-stat values do separate a cell exactly (18 on attack, 3 on Def, 0 on HP, over 88 contested cells), but none of them clears every gate while splitting between 25% and 60% of the grid, which is what an exact line has to do to carry a floor label.

The closest dirty thresholds on this dive, printed as evidence and not as lines:

At the one decimal place PvPoke and Poke Genie display, the top row reads Atk >= 185.5, which selects 2048 spreads where the exact value selects 2048: 0 more spreads land inside a line printed that way. The table prints the exact value because it is the one that selects the set the counts beside it describe.

A split is listed only when it puts fewer spreads on the wrong side than the constant rule does (predict one outcome for the whole grid) and when it keeps between 10% and 90% of the grid on each side.

cell	rank	closest split	spreads on the wrong side	constant rule gets wrong	wins at/above	wins below
1v0 Seaking	rank 45	Atk >= 185.53	1	2047	2047 of 2048	0 of 2048
0v1 Cresselia (Shadow)	rank 46	Def >= 114.14	206	1842	2048 of 2048	206 of 2048
1v2 Cresselia	rank 35	Atk >= 186.54	154	1638	1638 of 1792	0 of 2304
1v2 Corviknight (Shadow)	rank 4	HP >= 163	787	1911	1586 of 2048	325 of 2048

3. Lines on the other stats

No axis carries a line on this arm, so there is nothing to compare across them.

4. Example spreads

Existence proofs; each selection rule is printed with its spread.

There is no line on this arm, so the rules run over the whole grid rather than over a set of clearers.

No spread on this grid wins more matchups than rank-1 does, so the whole IV decision here is zero matchups wide.

rule	IVs	level	Atk / Def / HP	stat product	contested cells	all cells
most cells won on the whole grid	15/15/14	L50.0	192.60 / 119.04 / 168	100.00% (#1)	81	292
bulkiest (max Def x HP) among the whole grid with SP >= 95%	6/15/14	L50.0	183.52 / 119.04 / 168	95.29% (#219)	61	272

Cells won by shield scenario

spread	0v0	0v1	0v2	1v0	1v1	1v2	2v0	2v1	2v2	total
rank-1 15/15/14	32	10	3	51	33	14	63	58	28	292
15/15/14	32	10	3	51	33	14	63	58	28	292
6/15/14	29	8	2	51	27	13	62	57	23	272

5. Rank-1 check

Stat-product rank-1 is 15/15/14 at L50.0: 192.60 attack / 119.04 Def / 168 HP. It wins 292 of 567 cells (81 of the 88 contested ones).

There is no floor on this arm, so there is no line for it to be on one side of.

It is a member of the Alternative target below.

6. Alternative target

Def >= 112.03: 2816 spreads (68.8%), stat product 80.5% to 100.0% of rank-1, attack 177.47-192.60.

68.8% of the grid already satisfies this, so it is not a target to hunt for. Read it the other way round: the 31.2% of spreads outside it lose 2 contested matchups that every member wins: 0v0 Corviknight (rank 2), 1v2 Corviknight (rank 2).

Rule: among (Def, HP) rectangles with at least 100 members, the one winning the most contested cells with EVERY member that at most 1% of the spreads outside it win, counting only cells against a top-50 opponent in a non-degenerate scenario; ties broken by member count.

Members win 228-292 cells in total.

IV envelope of the members -- attack IV 0-15, Def IV 5-15, HP IV 0-15. Members per attack IV: 0: 176, 1: 176, 2: 176, 3: 176, 4: 176, 5: 176, 6: 176, 7: 176, 8: 176, 9: 176, 10: 176, 11: 176, 12: 176, 13: 176, 14: 176, 15: 176.

Highest stat product inside it: 15/15/14 at L50.0 (100.00% of rank-1), 15/15/15 at L50.0 (100.00% of rank-1), 14/15/14 at L50.0 (99.48% of rank-1), 14/15/15 at L50.0 (99.48% of rank-1), 15/14/14 at L50.0 (99.41% of rank-1).

7. Cost

2 reverse single-stat clean cuts exist (cells won by the low side of a stat).

8. Rungs above

No floor on this arm, so no ladder above one.

9. Material clean cuts

Clean cuts holding between 10% and 90% of the grid, ascending. The widest of them sit under nearly every spread on the grid; the narrow ones at the bottom of the table do not.

cut	cells owned	spreads	settings	mechanism
Atk >= 179.48	0v0 Walrein (rank 40), 1v0 Walrein (rank 40), 1v1 Cresselia (rank 35)	3584 (87.5%)	2/4	0v0 Walrein, 1v0 Walrein: Mechanism: BRAVE_BIRD damage steps 123 -> 124 across the cut. 1v1 Cresselia: Mechanism: FLY damage steps 54 -> 55 across the cut.
Atk >= 180.49	0v0 Muk (Alolan) (rank 36)	3328 (81.2%)	4/4	Mechanism: charge-move priority against Muk (Alolan). That Muk (Alolan) is built at 4/15/15, L37.0, 150.00 attack; 1.2 x 150.00 = 180.00, which falls in the gap (179.48, 180.50] between the last attainable attack below the cut and the cut itself.
Atk >= 183.52	1v0 Regidrago (rank 33), 1v0 Ampharos (rank 52)	2560 (62.5%)	2/4	1v0 Regidrago: Mechanism: BRAVE_BIRD damage steps 220 -> 221 across the cut. 1v0 Ampharos: Mechanism: BRAVE_BIRD damage steps 84 -> 85 across the cut.
Atk >= 184.52	0v0 Moltres (Galarian) (rank 13)	2304 (56.2%)	2/4	Mechanism: BRAVE_BIRD damage steps 106 -> 107 across the cut.
Atk >= 185.53	1v1 Florges (rank 12)	2048 (50.0%)	4/4	Mechanism: charge-move priority against Florges. That Florges is built at 4/13/15, L28.5, 154.04 attack; 1.2 x 154.04 = 184.85, which falls in the gap (184.52, 185.54] between the last attainable attack below the cut and the cut itself.
Atk >= 186.54	1v0 Feraligatr (rank 15), 1v1 Melmetal (rank 5), 2v1 Blastoise (rank 29)	1792 (43.8%)	2-4 of 4	1v0 Feraligatr: Mechanism: BRAVE_BIRD damage steps 122 -> 123 across the cut. 1v1 Melmetal: Mechanism: charge-move priority against Melmetal. That Melmetal is built at 4/15/14, L25.5, 155.15 attack; 1.2 x 155.15 = 186.18, which falls in the gap (185.53, 186.55] between the last attainable attack below the cut and the cut itself. 2v1 Blastoise: Mechanism: INCINERATE damage steps 10 -> 11 across the cut.
Atk >= 187.55	1v1 Runerigus (rank 43)	1536 (37.5%)	2/4	Mechanism: INCINERATE damage steps 14 -> 15 across the cut.
Atk >= 188.56	0v0 Florges (rank 12), 1v1 Skeledirge (rank 20)	1280 (31.2%)	2-4 of 4	0v0 Florges: Mechanism: INCINERATE damage steps 16 -> 17 across the cut. 1v1 Skeledirge: Mechanism: charge-move priority against Skeledirge. That Skeledirge is built at 6/15/13, L30.5, 156.50 attack; 1.2 x 156.50 = 187.80, which falls in the gap (187.55, 188.57] between the last attainable attack below the cut and the cut itself.
Atk >= 189.57	2v2 Skeledirge (rank 20)	1024 (25.0%)	2/4	Mechanism: INCINERATE damage steps 13 -> 14 across the cut.
Atk >= 191.58	2v1 Jellicent (rank 16)	512 (12.5%)	2/4	Mechanism: BRAVE_BIRD damage steps 122 -> 123 across the cut.

10. Bulk

Clean cuts by axis: 18 on attack, 3 on Def, 0 on HP.

11. Coverage

Omitted: there is no floor on this arm, so there is no line to place.

12. Mirror

Against the pool's own Talonflame (Shadow) entry. Seat: our side is the optimised row; the mirror opponent always baits.

Against a mirror built at stat-product rank-1 opponent IVs, the count of our spreads (of 4096) that win, by shield scenario 0v0 through 2v2: 0 0 0 4096 0 0 4096 4096 0.

Against a mirror built at stat-product rank-1 opponent IVs, focal never baits, the count of our spreads (of 4096) that win, by shield scenario 0v0 through 2v2: 0 0 0 4096 0 0 4096 4096 0.

shields	win rate over the whole grid
0v0	0.0%
0v1	0.0%
0v2	0.0%
1v0	100.0%
1v1	0.0%
1v2	0.0%
2v0	100.0%
2v1	100.0%
2v2	0.0%

13. Changes the score, not the matchup

Cells won (or lost) by every spread where the battle score still steps by at least 60 at one attainable attack value.

Ordered by how close the step comes to the win line (500), nearest first: the question this field answers is how close a cell is to becoming a matchup, not how large the swing inside it is.

12 of 27 steps are listed, closest to the win line first; 15 more are not.

value	cell	rank	score step	points from 500	outcome
Atk >= 192.59	0v0 Talonflame	rank 38	125 -> 500	0 (closing)	lost on both sides
Atk >= 192.59	0v0 Talonflame (Shadow)	rank 56	142 -> 500	0 (closing)	lost on both sides
Atk >= 192.59	1v1 Talonflame	rank 38	211 -> 500	0 (closing)	lost on both sides
Atk >= 192.59	1v1 Talonflame (Shadow)	rank 56	241 -> 500	0 (closing)	lost on both sides
Atk >= 192.59	2v2 Talonflame	rank 38	297 -> 500	0 (closing)	lost on both sides
Atk >= 192.59	2v2 Talonflame (Shadow)	rank 56	339 -> 500	0 (closing)	lost on both sides
Atk >= 190.58	1v0 Blastoise	rank 29	331 -> 454	46 (closing)	lost on both sides
Atk >= 185.53	1v0 Empoleon	rank 8	341 -> 439	61 (closing)	lost on both sides
Atk >= 181.50	2v1 Giratina (Altered) (Shadow)	rank 32	601 -> 698	101 (widening)	won on both sides
Atk >= 185.53	1v0 Clefable	rank 37	604 -> 929	104 (widening)	won on both sides
Atk >= 191.58	1v2 Annihilape	rank 59	309 -> 386	114 (closing)	lost on both sides
Atk >= 191.58	1v2 Annihilape (Close Combat+Rage Fist)	rank 59	309 -> 386	114 (closing)	lost on both sides

14. Not claimed

67 of 88 contested matchups have no clean single-stat rule and are not claimed.

6 of 56 top-50 matchups are listed, one per base species and closest to an even split first; 50 more are not.

cell	rank	win rate over the whole grid
1v0 Snorlax	rank 11	50.0%
1v0 Seaking	rank 45	50.0%
1v2 Corviknight (Shadow)	rank 4	46.7%
1v0 Swampert	rank 48	54.9%
0v1 Cresselia (Shadow)	rank 46	55.0%
1v2 Clefable	rank 37	41.4%

15. How sure

18 clean attack cuts, 3 on Def, 0 on HP, over 88 contested cells (211 cells are won by every spread, 268 lost by every spread).

Scenarios barred from carrying a floor -- fewer than 6 contested cells, or fewer than 8 distinct opponent columns among them; the dive page's "degenerate" flag applies the same two numbers to its own stricter counts, so it can flag a different set: 0v2 (3 contested, 4 distinct opponent columns), 2v0 (4 contested, 5 distinct opponent columns).

Independent check: the dive page's matchup clusters, under "Why these regions", which partition this same grid by whole win/loss fingerprint across all 7 non-degenerate shield scenarios, splits it at attack 185.03 (K=2, silhouette 0.41).

Not measured here: opponent IVs outside the baked cohorts, post-match HP and shields, XL or dust cost, and any live-game check of the priority convention.

16. Provenance

Every threshold in this section is one of three things, and each is badged where it is printed. An EXACT clean cut: every spread at or above it wins the named cell and no spread below it does. A ONE-SIDED GATE: one side is pure and the other is at least 97% pure -- either nothing below it wins (clearing it is necessary) or everything at or above it wins (clearing it is sufficient). A NEAR-EXACT split: at most 0.5% of the grid sits on the wrong side of it in total. The win predicate is gopvpsim.battle.is_win (score > 500; 500 itself is a tie, not a win).

That is stricter than the two numbers the dive page prints for the same opponent: the Threats "flips at" boundary (a 75/25 gate, so spreads on the passing side can still lose) and the Matchup clusters flip table's single-stat split for that one opponent (the most accurate such split, misclassifications allowed). The cluster line in "How sure" above is a third thing again: not one opponent but the stat rule that reproduces that section's "all scenarios" partition of the whole grid.

Priority ties: the coverage ladder counts an exact attack tie as NOT beaten. The engine is seat-dependent on an exact tie, so a tied line is not a guarantee in either direction.

Ranks and opponent builds are read live from the 2026-09-27 rankings snapshot and the current gamemaster; this blob carries no gamemaster stamp, so the render is a function of the blob plus those two live reads.

Auto-derived: this section is generated by scripts/deep_dive_brief.py from the replay blob. No human prose is in it.

How the line was selected (gates and guards)

Decision band for the floor (D1): the lowest ELIGIBLE rung whose clearer pool sits inside [25%, 60%] of the grid. Materiality band for a rung: [10%, 90%].

To be ELIGIBLE AS THE FLOOR -- not to be listed as a rung -- a cut needs at least 20 attack/20 defense/5 HP distinct attainable values below it, an opponent of rank 50 or better outside the caveat list, a non-degenerate shield scenario, a win rate at or above the cut of at least 90% in every setting, and a closed-form mechanism. Listing is a weaker bar: a rung is printed when it keeps 25% of the grid (above the floor) or sits in the materiality band (below it) AND points the same way in at least 2 settings, so a listed rung may be unattributed, low-ranked or 2-of-4.

A cut can fail several gates at once, so the failure tally below sums to more than the number of cuts.

Co-gate sub-rectangles need 5% of the grid; the alternative target needs 100 members; a score-only step needs 60 points. These constants are calibrated on one species and are parameters of the stage that uses them, not tuned per dive.

Floor pool by primitive on the attack axis -- the axis the cross-stat rule selected -- each selected on its own under the same band and the same gates: exact -> Atk >= 184.52 (0v0 Moltres (Galarian), 56.2%) rejected on G-material-gap, G-direction (2 of 4 settings); one-sided gate -> no candidate in the band; near-exact -> no candidate in the band. Selected: no floor. Selection takes the lowest eligible rung in the band; a stronger primitive within 0.50 stat points of it wins the tie, in the order exact, one-sided gate, near-exact. A gate needs 97% of its dirty side pointing the right way; a near-exact split needs at most 0.5% of the grid on the wrong side. Only exact rungs merge, in either direction.

Degradation ladder: rung reached = c. 21 clean cuts exist on this dive and none is a floor: no exact cut, one-sided gate or near-exact split clears every gate with a pool share inside [25%, 60%] of the grid.

Of 21 clean cuts, 0 clear every gate. Gate failures: G-material-gap 21, G-direction 13, G-rank 2, G-material-hi 1, G-material-lo 1, G-attributed 1.

Of 17 one-sided gate and near-exact candidates, 0 clear every gate. Gate failures: G-material-gap 17, G-material-hi 15, G-attributed 13.

Closest dirty thresholds on cells with no clean rule: 1v0 Seaking Atk >= 185.53 (1 spread on the wrong side); 0v1 Cresselia (Shadow) Def >= 114.14 (206 spreads on the wrong side); 1v2 Cresselia Atk >= 186.54 (154 spreads on the wrong side); 1v2 Corviknight (Shadow) HP >= 163 (787 spreads on the wrong side).

band	attack line it selects	cell
[25%, 60%]	no floor	-
[25%, 55%]	no floor	-
[25%, 50%]	no floor	-
[20%, 60%]	no floor	-
[30%, 60%]	no floor	-
[25%, 70%]	no floor	-

Terms used here

build criteria: Which shield scenarios the ranking counts: all nine equally, the three even ones, or 1v1 alone.
build: A region of the IV grid you can aim at -- every spread that clears the same combination of thresholds, at least fifty of them.
guaranteed: Won by every single spread in the region, not by most of them.
decision matchup: A (shield scenario, opponent) pair the IV choice decides: a top-50 opponent that some spreads on this grid beat and others lose to.
wide: The looser rule drawn around a region of the grid: it holds every spread that region holds and more, so it wins less for every member but is easier to hit.
stat-product rank-1 (SP1): The IV spread with the largest attack x defense x HP at this league's CP cap -- the bulk-first spread most IV tools list first. Written SP1 where it is named repeatedly.
staircase: A rule whose defense floor steps DOWN as HP goes up, so bulk can be spent on either stat: one floor per HP value rather than one floor for all of them.
material: A matchup no single-stat threshold of a hundred or more spreads wins more than 95% of the time, so it takes two stats at once to claim it.
opponent-IV mode: One of the ways every opponent was made for this bake -- PvPoke-default IVs or the bulkiest ones, each with and without the focal side baiting -- so a claim that holds in all of them does not depend on how the opponent was made.
stat product: Attack x defense x HP at the league's CP cap, the usual one-number summary of an IV spread.
fork: A second region with no spread in common with the first that wins a noticeably different set of matchups outright -- the two overlap on less than 80% of them -- so they are a real choice rather than two spellings of one.
outside rate: How often the spreads left OUT of a region win the same matchup its own members all win -- one the rest of the grid takes anyway is not what you bought.
UpSet plot: A bar chart of set intersections: each column is one candidate region, and the dots under it mark which named sets it lies inside (Lex et al. 2014).
contested matchups: The matchups some IV spreads on this grid win and others lose -- the only ones an IV choice can change.
bulkpoint: A defense value across which an opponent's damage into you steps down by a whole point, or an HP value across which the number of hits they need to knock you out changes.
charge-move priority (CMP): When both sides throw a charged move on the same turn, the higher attack stat goes first.
one-sided gate: A stat value with one clean side: either nothing below it wins the matchup, or everything at or above it does -- so clearing it is required, or enough, but not both.
rung: An attack value above the line at which some further matchup flips for every spread that reaches it.

Cluster	IVs	atk (mean)	def (mean)	hp (mean)	SP rank	contested wins (mean)	gains vs previous cluster
C0	348	180.8	111.9	160	#2804-#4096	4.8	-
C1	566	179.7	115.9	165	#350-#3995	7.4	Melmetal (+89pp), Skeledirge (+76pp), Seismitoad (+72pp), Corviknight (+44pp); trades away Clefable (-46pp), Alolan Muk (-43pp), Walrein (-22pp)
C2	1784	185.1	114.3	163	#51-#4051	8.9	Galarian Moltres (+79pp), Alolan Muk (+72pp), Clefable (+40pp), Walrein (+36pp); trades away Shadow Cresselia (-38pp), Skeledirge (-21pp), Corviknight (-18pp)
C3	891	190.2	115.0	164	#1-#3410	10.2	Swampert (+95pp), Florges (+92pp), Galarian Moltres (+21pp); trades away Seismitoad (-65pp), Skeledirge (-31pp)
C4	507	193.2	114.4	163	#3-#3506	13.1	Talonflame (+100pp), Shadow Talonflame (+100pp), Skeledirge (+74pp), Snorlax (+49pp)

Moveset: Switching movesets reloads the page; pasted CSV will need to be re-loaded. Shields: Build criteria: Opponent IVs: Bait: Y-axis: Color: Anchors: Build criteria weights shield scenarios in: Which one to build?, the all-scenarios clusters, and Shields = All (by build criteria). Nothing else on this page is re-weighted by it. Threshold tiers (e.g. GH Great / GH Good) are expert stat-cutoff regions defined in Threshold Tiers below. Hover legend to isolate; click to lock.

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Paste your Poke Genie CSV export below, or click Choose file… to load one from disk. You’ll see which of your Talonflames (and pre-evolutions) qualify for each tier, overlaid on the scatter plot.

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Or enter one at a time - Atk/Def/HP IVs (0-15), level, shadow flag. Same format as PvPoke / PvPIVs.

Species Atk Def HP Level Shadow

Compare candidates - up to 7 of your IV spreads, side by side: wins, mirror, and the close calls that decide the build

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Top IVs Rows: Ranked by this dive's battle simulation (not fetched from PvPoke). Click any column header to sort.

Battle-Rating Distribution

Per-matchup battle-rating distribution for the reference IV (PvPoke default or Rank 1, matching the Opponent-IVs dropdown) across the opponent pool, under the currently-selected Shields / Opponent-IVs / Bait.

Incinerate / Brave Bird, Fly

IV Recommendations

Moveset: Incinerate / Brave Bird, Fly. Vs PvPoke default opponents.

IV Flavor Guide (Simulation)

Auto-generated from simulation matchup data. Flavor names (e.g. "Premium Bulk", "Fortified {Opp}", "{Opp} Slayer") are derived from which opponents each IV cluster beats, not from the expert-authored Threshold Tiers section above. This IV Flavor Guide and the Threshold Tiers answer different questions and may not line up 1:1. New to flavor cards? The IV Flavor Guide walks through the six name families and the trade-off layout.

In Ultra League, Talonflame has 4 flavors: General Good, Fortified Blastoise, Fortified Milotic (Shadow), and Fortified Regidrago. In general, the General Good variation may be the flavor of choice, as it plays up Talonflame's potential vs Zygarde (Complete Forme), Annihilape, Annihilape (Close Combat+Rage Fist), among others.

Flavor	IVs	%	Catches needed
General Good [Recommended]	2925	71.4%	almost any will do
Fortified Blastoise	176	4.3%	~16-32 for a 50-75% chance
Fortified Milotic (Shadow)	176	4.3%	~16-32 for a 50-75% chance
Fortified Regidrago	176	4.3%	~16-32 for a 50-75% chance

General Good (177.59 Atk, 108.56 Def, 158 HP) [Recommended]

108.56 Def and 158 HP is a safe baseline for Talonflame, with an attack floor of 177.59 Atk for coverage against key opponents.

158 HP is also a safe spot, enabling key matchups vs Clefable, Corviknight, Cresselia.

109.24 Def with 158+ HP for Clefable (1v2), Corviknight (incl. Shadow) (0v0, 0v1, 1v2), Dusknoir (1v1), Rillaboom (0v1), Cresselia (incl. Shadow) (0v0), Registeel (0v1), Zygarde (Complete Forme) (1v1)
109.94 Def with 164+ HP for Corviknight (0v0, 1v2), Rillaboom (0v2, 1v2), Virizion (0v2)
110.64 Def with 165+ HP for Rillaboom (0v2), Seismitoad (2v2)
112.04 Def with 160+ HP for Cresselia (incl. Shadow) (0v1), Seismitoad (1v1, 2v2)
113.44 Def with 165+ HP for Registeel (0v1), Annihilape (2v2), Swampert (1v0)
114.14 Def for the Annihilape (Close Combat+Rage Fist) (2v2)
114.84 Def for the Ninetales (Alolan) (1v1)
115.54 Def with 163+ HP for Primarina (2v1), Swampert (2v1)

Fortified Blastoise (118.54 Def, 160 HP)

The "Fortified Blastoise" Talonflame fortifies its bulk to gain several matchups including the Blastoise 1v0, the Annihilape 2v2, the Annihilape (Close Combat+Rage Fist) 2v2. This requires 118.54 Def with 160 HP.

Fortified Milotic (Shadow) (118.41 Def, 160 HP)

The "Fortified Milotic (Shadow)" Talonflame fortifies its bulk to gain several matchups including the Milotic (Shadow) 2v1, the Annihilape 2v2, the Annihilape (Close Combat+Rage Fist) 2v2. This requires 118.41 Def with 160 HP.

Fortified Regidrago (118.42 Def, 160 HP)

The "Fortified Regidrago" Talonflame fortifies its bulk to gain several matchups including the Regidrago 1v1, the Annihilape 2v2, the Annihilape (Close Combat+Rage Fist) 2v2. This requires 118.42 Def with 160 HP.

Rank-1 Talonflame (15/15/15) meets the General Good thresholds.

Simulation-Derived IV Tiers

Auto-derived from the sim (not expert-authored).

Threshold Tiers

Stat-target headlines from thresholds/*.toml, each grouped with the named anchors its spec clears and the IV spreads that meet it. Within each tier card, bullets are grouped by opponent and sorted by the required stat (Def or Atk) ascending - read top-to-bottom in the order a player would clear them as their stat grows. The flat list of every anchor (regardless of tier) lives in Anchor-Driven Matchup Flips below. New to tier cards? The Threshold Tiers guide walks through what the stat cutoffs and member counts mean. A tier's anchors come from two passes over the anchor list:

Primary bullets - the tier has a cutoff on the anchor's target axis (atk or def) that meets or exceeds the anchor's threshold. Consequences:
- Subset case: if tier A is strictly stricter than tier B on the anchor axis, A's bullet list is a superset of B's. Overlap is intentional.
- Crossed-cutoff case: tier A has only an atk cutoff, tier B has only a def cutoff - neither is a subset of the other. Atk anchors appear only on A; def anchors only on B.
- Slayer-axis IV-count case: two tiers can list the same atk anchor but have different member-IV counts because a stricter tier's def cutoff excludes def-sacrificing spreads that the looser tier keeps. Check the (−N vs parent) callout on the tier header to spot this at a glance.
Anchors we get for free (collapsed) - the tier has no cutoff on the anchor's target axis, but every IV in the tier clears the anchor's threshold anyway. These would be silently dropped by the primary filter; we surface them in a separate collapsed block so the card isn't misleading.

Fortified Blastoise · def≥118.54, hp≥160 (176 IV spreads)

Clears 118 anchors across 8 shield scenarios, covering Annihilape, Blastoise, Clefable, Corviknight, +18 more. Bulkpoint(s) vs Blastoise (3 scenario flips).

108.96 Def for Corviknight (Sky Attack) vs Corviknight (0v0, 0v1, 1v2)
109.33 Def for Corviknight (Air Cutter) vs Corviknight (0v0, 0v1, 1v2)
109.49 Def for Corviknight (Payback) vs Corviknight (0v0, 0v1, 1v2)
109.83 Def for Corviknight (Iron Head) vs Corviknight (0v0, 0v1, 1v2)
111.98 Def for Corviknight (Sand Attack) vs Corviknight (0v0, 1v2)
108.71 Def + 158 HP for Shadow Corviknight (Sky Attack) vs Shadow Corviknight (1v2)
108.78 Def + 158 HP for Shadow Corviknight (Iron Head) vs Shadow Corviknight (1v2)
109.02 Def + 158 HP for Shadow Corviknight (Air Cutter) vs Shadow Corviknight (1v2)
109.49 Def + 158 HP for Shadow Corviknight (Payback) vs Shadow Corviknight (1v2)
112.88 Def + 158 HP for Shadow Corviknight (Steel Wing) vs Shadow Corviknight (1v2)
109.49 Def + 157 HP for Virizion (Stone Edge) vs Virizion (0v2)
109.56 Def + 157 HP for Virizion (Close Combat) vs Virizion (0v2)
109.56 Def + 157 HP for Virizion (Sacred Sword) vs Virizion (0v2)
111.27 Def + 157 HP for Virizion (Leaf Blade) vs Virizion (0v2)
113.94 Def + 158 HP for Virizion (Double Kick) vs Virizion (0v2)
108.56 Def for Rillaboom (Grass Knot) vs Rillaboom (0v1, 0v2, 1v2)
109.19 Def for Rillaboom (Earth Power) vs Rillaboom (0v1, 0v2, 1v2)
109.19 Def for Rillaboom (Energy Ball) vs Rillaboom (0v1)
110.36 Def for Rillaboom (Frenzy Plant) vs Rillaboom (0v1, 0v2, 1v2)
110.65 Def for Rillaboom (Scratch) vs Rillaboom (0v1, 0v2, 1v2)
111.14 Def for Rillaboom (Drum Beating) vs Rillaboom (0v1, 0v2, 1v2)
108.66 Def + 160 HP for Dusknoir (Shadow Ball) vs Dusknoir (1v1)
108.66 Def + 160 HP for Dusknoir (Poltergeist) vs Dusknoir (1v1)
109.15 Def + 160 HP for Dusknoir (Dark Pulse) vs Dusknoir (1v1)
109.56 Def + 160 HP for Dusknoir (Shadow Punch) vs Dusknoir (1v1)
109.77 Def + 160 HP for Dusknoir (Ominous Wind) vs Dusknoir (1v1)
109.86 Def + 160 HP for Dusknoir (Psychic) vs Dusknoir (1v1)
109.86 Def + 160 HP for Dusknoir (Dynamic Punch) vs Dusknoir (1v1)
110.33 Def + 163 HP for Dusknoir (Astonish) vs Dusknoir (1v1)
113.89 Def + 164 HP for Alolan Ninetales (Chilling Water) vs Alolan Ninetales (1v1)
114.09 Def + 159 HP for Alolan Ninetales (Blizzard) vs Alolan Ninetales (1v1)
114.35 Def + 164 HP for Alolan Ninetales (Ice Beam) vs Alolan Ninetales (1v1)
114.35 Def + 166 HP for Alolan Ninetales (Weather Ball (Ice)) vs Alolan Ninetales (1v1)
114.59 Def + 164 HP for Alolan Ninetales (Dazzling Gleam) vs Alolan Ninetales (1v1)
114.88 Def + 164 HP for Alolan Ninetales (Psyshock) vs Alolan Ninetales (1v1)
118.16 Def for Alolan Ninetales (Feint Attack) vs Alolan Ninetales (1v1)
118.16 Def for Alolan Ninetales (Powder Snow) vs Alolan Ninetales (1v1)
108.84 Def + 161 HP for Registeel (Hyper Beam) vs Registeel (0v1)
108.84 Def + 161 HP for Registeel (Zap Cannon) vs Registeel (0v1)
109.74 Def + 161 HP for Registeel (Flash Cannon) vs Registeel (0v1)
110.04 Def + 162 HP for Registeel (Focus Blast) vs Registeel (0v1)
112.24 Def + 166 HP for Registeel (Rock Smash) vs Registeel (0v1)
108.81 Def + 158 HP for Clefable (Draining Kiss) vs Clefable (1v2)
109.30 Def + 158 HP for Clefable (Meteor Mash) vs Clefable (1v2)
109.62 Def + 158 HP for Clefable (Psychic) vs Clefable (1v2)
109.92 Def + 158 HP for Clefable (Swift) vs Clefable (1v2)
110.17 Def + 162 HP for Clefable (Charm) vs Clefable (1v2)
110.17 Def + 158 HP for Clefable (Dazzling Gleam) vs Clefable (1v2)
110.17 Def + 158 HP for Clefable (Moonblast) vs Clefable (1v2)
111.92 Def + 160 HP for Clefable (Zen Headbutt) vs Clefable (1v2)
110.76 Def + 166 HP for Walrein (Earthquake) vs Walrein (2v2)
110.82 Def + 166 HP for Walrein (Water Pulse) vs Walrein (2v2)
110.90 Def + 166 HP for Walrein (Waterfall) vs Walrein (2v2)
111.04 Def + 165 HP for Walrein (Blizzard) vs Walrein (2v2)
111.82 Def + 165 HP for Walrein (Icicle Spear) vs Walrein (2v2)
113.42 Def + 166 HP for Walrein (Powder Snow) vs Walrein (2v2)
113.42 Def + 166 HP for Walrein (Frost Breath) vs Walrein (2v2)
113.87 Def + 157 HP for Shadow Walrein (Water Pulse) vs Shadow Walrein (1v1)
114.07 Def + 161 HP for Shadow Walrein (Waterfall) vs Shadow Walrein (1v1)
114.10 Def + 157 HP for Shadow Walrein (Blizzard) vs Shadow Walrein (1v1)
114.79 Def + 158 HP for Shadow Walrein (Icicle Spear) vs Shadow Walrein (1v1)
114.95 Def + 157 HP for Shadow Walrein (Earthquake) vs Shadow Walrein (1v1)
116.66 Def + 158 HP for Shadow Walrein (Powder Snow) vs Shadow Walrein (1v1)
112.10 Def + 164 HP for Deoxys Defense (Rock Slide) vs Deoxys (Defense) (1v2)
112.15 Def + 164 HP for Deoxys Defense (Psycho Boost) vs Deoxys (Defense) (1v2)
112.88 Def + 163 HP for Deoxys Defense (Thunderbolt) vs Deoxys (Defense) (1v2)
116.11 Def + 164 HP for Deoxys Defense (Zen Headbutt) vs Deoxys (Defense) (1v2)
116.75 Def + 168 HP for Steelix (Heavy Slam) vs Steelix (2v1)
117.02 Def + 168 HP for Steelix (Thunder Fang) vs Steelix (2v1)
117.54 Def + 168 HP for Steelix (Crunch) vs Steelix (2v1)
117.54 Def + 168 HP for Steelix (Psychic Fangs) vs Steelix (2v1)
117.54 Def + 168 HP for Steelix (Breaking Swipe) vs Steelix (2v1)
117.54 Def + 168 HP for Steelix (Earthquake) vs Steelix (2v1)
108.70 Def + 159 HP for Shadow Cresselia (Aurora Beam) vs Shadow Cresselia (0v0, 0v1, 1v2)
109.18 Def + 159 HP for Shadow Cresselia (Future Sight) vs Shadow Cresselia (0v0, 0v1, 1v2)
109.19 Def + 163 HP for Shadow Cresselia (Moonblast) vs Shadow Cresselia (0v0, 0v1, 1v2)
111.46 Def + 159 HP for Shadow Cresselia (Grass Knot) vs Shadow Cresselia (0v0, 0v1)
114.14 Def + 168 HP for Shadow Cresselia (Confusion) vs Shadow Cresselia (0v1, 1v2)
114.14 Def + 168 HP for Shadow Cresselia (Psycho Cut) vs Shadow Cresselia (0v1, 1v2)
112.74 Def + 164 HP for Swampert (Sludge Wave) vs Swampert (1v0, 2v1)
112.91 Def for Swampert (Muddy Water) vs Swampert (1v0)
113.26 Def + 164 HP for Swampert (Hydro Cannon) vs Swampert (1v0, 2v1)
113.53 Def + 164 HP for Swampert (Surf) vs Swampert (1v0, 2v1)
113.88 Def for Swampert (Sludge) vs Swampert (1v0)
113.88 Def + 164 HP for Swampert (Earthquake) vs Swampert (1v0, 2v1)
115.31 Def + 164 HP for Swampert (Mud Shot) vs Swampert (1v0, 2v1)
115.22 Def + 161 HP for Primarina (Hydro Pump) vs Primarina (2v1)
115.36 Def + 161 HP for Primarina (Disarming Voice) vs Primarina (2v1)
115.58 Def + 161 HP for Primarina (Hydro Cannon) vs Primarina (2v1)
115.58 Def + 161 HP for Primarina (Sparkling Aria) vs Primarina (2v1)
115.87 Def + 161 HP for Primarina (Moonblast) vs Primarina (2v1)
116.02 Def + 161 HP for Primarina (Waterfall) vs Primarina (2v1)
116.05 Def + 161 HP for Primarina (Psychic) vs Primarina (2v1)
110.37 Def + 160 HP for Seismitoad (Muddy Water) vs Seismitoad (1v1, 2v2)
110.87 Def + 162 HP for Seismitoad (Earth Power) vs Seismitoad (1v1, 2v2)
111.32 Def + 160 HP for Seismitoad (Sludge Bomb) vs Seismitoad (2v2)
111.32 Def + 160 HP for Seismitoad (Icy Wind) vs Seismitoad (2v2)
112.71 Def + 164 HP for Seismitoad (Mud Shot) vs Seismitoad (1v1, 2v2)
112.78 Def for Annihilape (Ice Punch) vs Annihilape (2v2)
112.78 Def for Annihilape (Shadow Ball) vs Annihilape (2v2)
113.72 Def for Annihilape (Rage Fist) vs Annihilape (2v2)
114.02 Def for Annihilape (Close Combat) vs Annihilape (2v2)
114.87 Def for Annihilape (Night Slash) vs Annihilape (2v2)
114.87 Def for Annihilape (Low Sweep) vs Annihilape (2v2)
116.30 Def for Annihilape (Low Kick) vs Annihilape (2v2)
108.63 Def + 158 HP for Zygarde Complete Forme (Crunch) vs Zygarde (Complete Forme) (1v1)
109.30 Def + 158 HP for Zygarde Complete Forme (Hyper Beam) vs Zygarde (Complete Forme) (1v1)
109.30 Def + 158 HP for Zygarde Complete Forme (Earthquake) vs Zygarde (Complete Forme) (1v1)
109.30 Def + 158 HP for Zygarde Complete Forme (Bulldoze) vs Zygarde (Complete Forme) (1v1)
109.52 Def + 158 HP for Zygarde Complete Forme (Outrage) vs Zygarde (Complete Forme) (1v1)
117.77 Def + 168 HP for Jellicent (Bubble) vs Jellicent (1v0 with bait)
117.77 Def + 168 HP for Jellicent (Bubble Beam) vs Jellicent (1v0 with bait)
118.30 Def + 168 HP for Jellicent (Ice Beam) vs Jellicent (1v0 with bait)
118.30 Def + 168 HP for Jellicent (Shadow Ball) vs Jellicent (1v0 with bait)
118.30 Def + 168 HP for Jellicent (Surf) vs Jellicent (1v0 with bait)
118.54 Def + 168 HP for Blastoise (Hydro Pump) vs Blastoise (1v0)
118.42 Def + 160 HP for Regidrago (Outrage) vs Regidrago (1v1)
118.41 Def + 161 HP for Shadow Milotic (Aqua Tail) vs Shadow Milotic (2v1)

Matchup-flipping boundaries (full-battle stat targets, not just damage tiers):

116.94 Def flips Annihilape (Close Combat+Rage Fist) (2v2) [1024 IVs]
114.14 Def flips Annihilape (Close Combat+Rage Fist) (2v2) [2048 IVs]

Additional matchup flips at this tier's spec (not explained by a single anchor - may involve HP or multi-stat interactions):

vs Annihilape (Close Combat+Rage Fist) (2v2)

Member IVs (176)

IV	Atk	Def	HP	Avg rank	Net flips	0v0 Δ	1v1 Δ	2v2 Δ
15/15/14 👑	192.60	119.04	168	#1	+0	+0.0	+0.0	+0.0
15/15/15 👑	192.60	119.04	168	#2	+0	+0.0	+0.0	+0.0
15/15/13	192.60	119.04	167	#5	-5	-0.9	-1.1	-1.9
15/15/12	192.60	119.04	166	#9	-6	-1.7	-2.0	-2.4
15/15/11	192.60	119.04	165	#14	-10	-2.7	-3.3	-8.0
15/15/10	192.60	119.04	164	#15	-11	-9.2	-1.7	-6.2
15/15/8	192.60	119.04	163	#24	-12	-11.4	-2.8	-7.7
15/15/9	192.60	119.04	163	#25	-12	-11.4	-2.8	-7.7
15/15/7	192.60	119.04	162	#33	-15	-12.4	-4.0	-8.6
14/15/14	191.59	119.04	168	#34	-3	-21.0	-10.5	-7.9
14/15/15	191.59	119.04	168	#35	-3	-21.0	-10.5	-7.9
14/15/13	191.59	119.04	167	#39	-8	-20.2	-11.7	-9.8
14/15/12	191.59	119.04	166	#49	-8	-21.0	-12.6	-10.4
15/15/6	192.60	119.04	161	#61	-17	-13.4	-9.0	-13.7
14/15/11	191.59	119.04	165	#62	-12	-22.0	-13.9	-15.9
13/15/14	190.58	119.04	168	#67	-10	-23.0	-13.6	-12.0
13/15/15	190.58	119.04	168	#68	-10	-23.0	-13.6	-12.0
14/15/10	191.59	119.04	164	#72	-13	-28.5	-12.2	-14.1
13/15/13	190.58	119.04	167	#75	-15	-22.2	-14.8	-13.8
12/15/14	189.57	119.04	168	#88	-15	-23.1	-15.2	-15.7
12/15/15	189.57	119.04	168	#89	-15	-23.1	-15.2	-15.7
15/15/5	192.60	119.04	160	#92	-21	-14.4	-10.5	-15.0
12/15/13	189.57	119.04	167	#97	-20	-22.4	-16.3	-17.4
14/15/8	191.59	119.04	163	#98	-14	-30.7	-13.3	-15.7
14/15/9	191.59	119.04	163	#99	-14	-30.7	-13.3	-15.7
13/15/12	190.58	119.04	166	#100	-15	-23.0	-15.7	-14.3
11/15/14	188.56	119.04	168	#113	-21	-20.7	-20.0	-19.2
11/15/15	188.56	119.04	168	#114	-21	-20.7	-20.0	-19.2
14/15/7	191.59	119.04	162	#122	-17	-31.7	-14.6	-16.6
13/15/11	190.58	119.04	165	#126	-19	-24.0	-17.0	-19.8
12/15/12	189.57	119.04	166	#127	-20	-23.3	-17.2	-17.9
11/15/13	188.56	119.04	167	#133	-26	-20.0	-21.0	-21.0
13/15/10	190.58	119.04	164	#146	-20	-30.5	-15.3	-18.0
12/15/11	189.57	119.04	165	#150	-23	-24.2	-18.5	-21.6
12/15/10	189.57	119.04	164	#163	-24	-30.7	-16.9	-19.8
11/15/12	188.56	119.04	166	#168	-26	-20.9	-21.9	-21.7
13/15/8	190.58	119.04	163	#182	-21	-32.7	-16.4	-19.4
13/15/9	190.58	119.04	163	#183	-21	-32.7	-16.4	-19.4
14/15/6	191.59	119.04	161	#187	-19	-32.6	-19.6	-21.7
11/15/11	188.56	119.04	165	#194	-29	-21.8	-23.1	-26.3
12/15/8	189.57	119.04	163	#203	-25	-32.9	-18.0	-21.3
12/15/9	189.57	119.04	163	#204	-25	-32.9	-18.0	-21.3
13/15/7	190.58	119.04	162	#208	-24	-33.7	-17.7	-20.4
10/15/14	187.55	119.04	168	#213	+0	-24.6	-29.9	-23.6
10/15/15	187.55	119.04	168	#214	+0	-24.6	-29.9	-23.6
11/15/10	188.56	119.04	164	#217	-30	-28.4	-21.3	-24.4
9/15/14	186.55	119.04	168	#243	+0	-25.0	-35.7	-24.0
9/15/15	186.55	119.04	168	#244	+0	-25.0	-35.7	-24.0
12/15/7	189.57	119.04	162	#246	-28	-33.8	-19.2	-22.2
10/15/13	187.55	119.04	167	#257	+0	-23.9	-30.9	-25.3
… 126 more not rendered (top 50 by avg rank shown)

Fortified Milotic (Shadow) · def≥118.41, hp≥160 (176 IV spreads)

Clears 116 anchors across 8 shield scenarios, covering Annihilape, Clefable, Corviknight, Shadow Corviknight, +16 more. Bulkpoint(s) vs Milotic (Shadow) (3 scenario flips).

108.96 Def for Corviknight (Sky Attack) vs Corviknight (0v0, 0v1, 1v2)
109.33 Def for Corviknight (Air Cutter) vs Corviknight (0v0, 0v1, 1v2)
109.49 Def for Corviknight (Payback) vs Corviknight (0v0, 0v1, 1v2)
109.83 Def for Corviknight (Iron Head) vs Corviknight (0v0, 0v1, 1v2)
111.98 Def for Corviknight (Sand Attack) vs Corviknight (0v0, 1v2)
108.71 Def + 158 HP for Shadow Corviknight (Sky Attack) vs Shadow Corviknight (1v2)
108.78 Def + 158 HP for Shadow Corviknight (Iron Head) vs Shadow Corviknight (1v2)
109.02 Def + 158 HP for Shadow Corviknight (Air Cutter) vs Shadow Corviknight (1v2)
109.49 Def + 158 HP for Shadow Corviknight (Payback) vs Shadow Corviknight (1v2)
112.88 Def + 158 HP for Shadow Corviknight (Steel Wing) vs Shadow Corviknight (1v2)
109.49 Def + 157 HP for Virizion (Stone Edge) vs Virizion (0v2)
109.56 Def + 157 HP for Virizion (Close Combat) vs Virizion (0v2)
109.56 Def + 157 HP for Virizion (Sacred Sword) vs Virizion (0v2)
111.27 Def + 157 HP for Virizion (Leaf Blade) vs Virizion (0v2)
113.94 Def + 158 HP for Virizion (Double Kick) vs Virizion (0v2)
108.56 Def for Rillaboom (Grass Knot) vs Rillaboom (0v1, 0v2, 1v2)
109.19 Def for Rillaboom (Earth Power) vs Rillaboom (0v1, 0v2, 1v2)
109.19 Def for Rillaboom (Energy Ball) vs Rillaboom (0v1)
110.36 Def for Rillaboom (Frenzy Plant) vs Rillaboom (0v1, 0v2, 1v2)
110.65 Def for Rillaboom (Scratch) vs Rillaboom (0v1, 0v2, 1v2)
111.14 Def for Rillaboom (Drum Beating) vs Rillaboom (0v1, 0v2, 1v2)
108.66 Def + 160 HP for Dusknoir (Shadow Ball) vs Dusknoir (1v1)
108.66 Def + 160 HP for Dusknoir (Poltergeist) vs Dusknoir (1v1)
109.15 Def + 160 HP for Dusknoir (Dark Pulse) vs Dusknoir (1v1)
109.56 Def + 160 HP for Dusknoir (Shadow Punch) vs Dusknoir (1v1)
109.77 Def + 160 HP for Dusknoir (Ominous Wind) vs Dusknoir (1v1)
109.86 Def + 160 HP for Dusknoir (Psychic) vs Dusknoir (1v1)
109.86 Def + 160 HP for Dusknoir (Dynamic Punch) vs Dusknoir (1v1)
110.33 Def + 163 HP for Dusknoir (Astonish) vs Dusknoir (1v1)
113.89 Def + 164 HP for Alolan Ninetales (Chilling Water) vs Alolan Ninetales (1v1)
114.09 Def + 159 HP for Alolan Ninetales (Blizzard) vs Alolan Ninetales (1v1)
114.35 Def + 164 HP for Alolan Ninetales (Ice Beam) vs Alolan Ninetales (1v1)
114.35 Def + 166 HP for Alolan Ninetales (Weather Ball (Ice)) vs Alolan Ninetales (1v1)
114.59 Def + 164 HP for Alolan Ninetales (Dazzling Gleam) vs Alolan Ninetales (1v1)
114.88 Def + 164 HP for Alolan Ninetales (Psyshock) vs Alolan Ninetales (1v1)
118.16 Def for Alolan Ninetales (Feint Attack) vs Alolan Ninetales (1v1)
118.16 Def for Alolan Ninetales (Powder Snow) vs Alolan Ninetales (1v1)
108.84 Def + 161 HP for Registeel (Hyper Beam) vs Registeel (0v1)
108.84 Def + 161 HP for Registeel (Zap Cannon) vs Registeel (0v1)
109.74 Def + 161 HP for Registeel (Flash Cannon) vs Registeel (0v1)
110.04 Def + 162 HP for Registeel (Focus Blast) vs Registeel (0v1)
112.24 Def + 166 HP for Registeel (Rock Smash) vs Registeel (0v1)
108.81 Def + 158 HP for Clefable (Draining Kiss) vs Clefable (1v2)
109.30 Def + 158 HP for Clefable (Meteor Mash) vs Clefable (1v2)
109.62 Def + 158 HP for Clefable (Psychic) vs Clefable (1v2)
109.92 Def + 158 HP for Clefable (Swift) vs Clefable (1v2)
110.17 Def + 162 HP for Clefable (Charm) vs Clefable (1v2)
110.17 Def + 158 HP for Clefable (Dazzling Gleam) vs Clefable (1v2)
110.17 Def + 158 HP for Clefable (Moonblast) vs Clefable (1v2)
111.92 Def + 160 HP for Clefable (Zen Headbutt) vs Clefable (1v2)
110.76 Def + 166 HP for Walrein (Earthquake) vs Walrein (2v2)
110.82 Def + 166 HP for Walrein (Water Pulse) vs Walrein (2v2)
110.90 Def + 166 HP for Walrein (Waterfall) vs Walrein (2v2)
111.04 Def + 166 HP for Walrein (Blizzard) vs Walrein (2v2)
111.82 Def + 166 HP for Walrein (Icicle Spear) vs Walrein (2v2)
113.42 Def + 166 HP for Walrein (Powder Snow) vs Walrein (2v2)
113.42 Def + 166 HP for Walrein (Frost Breath) vs Walrein (2v2)
113.87 Def + 157 HP for Shadow Walrein (Water Pulse) vs Shadow Walrein (1v1)
114.07 Def + 161 HP for Shadow Walrein (Waterfall) vs Shadow Walrein (1v1)
114.10 Def + 157 HP for Shadow Walrein (Blizzard) vs Shadow Walrein (1v1)
114.79 Def + 158 HP for Shadow Walrein (Icicle Spear) vs Shadow Walrein (1v1)
114.95 Def + 157 HP for Shadow Walrein (Earthquake) vs Shadow Walrein (1v1)
116.66 Def + 158 HP for Shadow Walrein (Powder Snow) vs Shadow Walrein (1v1)
112.10 Def + 164 HP for Deoxys Defense (Rock Slide) vs Deoxys (Defense) (1v2)
112.15 Def + 164 HP for Deoxys Defense (Psycho Boost) vs Deoxys (Defense) (1v2)
112.88 Def + 163 HP for Deoxys Defense (Thunderbolt) vs Deoxys (Defense) (1v2)
116.11 Def + 164 HP for Deoxys Defense (Zen Headbutt) vs Deoxys (Defense) (1v2)
116.75 Def + 168 HP for Steelix (Heavy Slam) vs Steelix (2v1)
117.02 Def + 168 HP for Steelix (Thunder Fang) vs Steelix (2v1)
117.54 Def + 168 HP for Steelix (Crunch) vs Steelix (2v1)
117.54 Def + 168 HP for Steelix (Psychic Fangs) vs Steelix (2v1)
117.54 Def + 168 HP for Steelix (Breaking Swipe) vs Steelix (2v1)
117.54 Def + 168 HP for Steelix (Earthquake) vs Steelix (2v1)
108.70 Def + 159 HP for Shadow Cresselia (Aurora Beam) vs Shadow Cresselia (0v0, 0v1, 1v2)
109.18 Def + 159 HP for Shadow Cresselia (Future Sight) vs Shadow Cresselia (0v0, 0v1, 1v2)
109.19 Def + 163 HP for Shadow Cresselia (Moonblast) vs Shadow Cresselia (0v0, 0v1, 1v2)
111.46 Def + 159 HP for Shadow Cresselia (Grass Knot) vs Shadow Cresselia (0v0, 0v1)
114.14 Def + 168 HP for Shadow Cresselia (Confusion) vs Shadow Cresselia (0v1, 1v2)
114.14 Def + 168 HP for Shadow Cresselia (Psycho Cut) vs Shadow Cresselia (0v1, 1v2)
112.74 Def + 164 HP for Swampert (Sludge Wave) vs Swampert (1v0, 2v1)
112.91 Def for Swampert (Muddy Water) vs Swampert (1v0)
113.26 Def + 164 HP for Swampert (Hydro Cannon) vs Swampert (1v0, 2v1)
113.53 Def + 164 HP for Swampert (Surf) vs Swampert (1v0, 2v1)
113.88 Def for Swampert (Sludge) vs Swampert (1v0)
113.88 Def + 164 HP for Swampert (Earthquake) vs Swampert (1v0, 2v1)
115.31 Def + 164 HP for Swampert (Mud Shot) vs Swampert (1v0, 2v1)
115.22 Def + 161 HP for Primarina (Hydro Pump) vs Primarina (2v1)
115.36 Def + 161 HP for Primarina (Disarming Voice) vs Primarina (2v1)
115.58 Def + 161 HP for Primarina (Hydro Cannon) vs Primarina (2v1)
115.58 Def + 161 HP for Primarina (Sparkling Aria) vs Primarina (2v1)
115.87 Def + 161 HP for Primarina (Moonblast) vs Primarina (2v1)
116.02 Def + 161 HP for Primarina (Waterfall) vs Primarina (2v1)
116.05 Def + 161 HP for Primarina (Psychic) vs Primarina (2v1)
110.37 Def + 160 HP for Seismitoad (Muddy Water) vs Seismitoad (1v1, 2v2)
110.87 Def + 162 HP for Seismitoad (Earth Power) vs Seismitoad (1v1, 2v2)
111.32 Def + 160 HP for Seismitoad (Sludge Bomb) vs Seismitoad (2v2)
111.32 Def + 160 HP for Seismitoad (Icy Wind) vs Seismitoad (2v2)
112.71 Def + 164 HP for Seismitoad (Mud Shot) vs Seismitoad (1v1, 2v2)
112.78 Def for Annihilape (Ice Punch) vs Annihilape (2v2)
112.78 Def for Annihilape (Shadow Ball) vs Annihilape (2v2)
113.72 Def for Annihilape (Rage Fist) vs Annihilape (2v2)
114.02 Def for Annihilape (Close Combat) vs Annihilape (2v2)
114.87 Def for Annihilape (Night Slash) vs Annihilape (2v2)
114.87 Def for Annihilape (Low Sweep) vs Annihilape (2v2)
116.30 Def for Annihilape (Low Kick) vs Annihilape (2v2)
108.63 Def + 158 HP for Zygarde Complete Forme (Crunch) vs Zygarde (Complete Forme) (1v1)
109.30 Def + 158 HP for Zygarde Complete Forme (Hyper Beam) vs Zygarde (Complete Forme) (1v1)
109.30 Def + 158 HP for Zygarde Complete Forme (Earthquake) vs Zygarde (Complete Forme) (1v1)
109.30 Def + 158 HP for Zygarde Complete Forme (Bulldoze) vs Zygarde (Complete Forme) (1v1)
109.52 Def + 158 HP for Zygarde Complete Forme (Outrage) vs Zygarde (Complete Forme) (1v1)
117.77 Def + 168 HP for Jellicent (Bubble) vs Jellicent (1v0 with bait)
117.77 Def + 168 HP for Jellicent (Bubble Beam) vs Jellicent (1v0 with bait)
118.30 Def + 168 HP for Jellicent (Ice Beam) vs Jellicent (1v0 with bait)
118.30 Def + 168 HP for Jellicent (Shadow Ball) vs Jellicent (1v0 with bait)
118.30 Def + 168 HP for Jellicent (Surf) vs Jellicent (1v0 with bait)
118.41 Def + 161 HP for Shadow Milotic (Aqua Tail) vs Shadow Milotic (2v1)

Matchup-flipping boundaries (full-battle stat targets, not just damage tiers):

116.94 Def flips Annihilape (Close Combat+Rage Fist) (2v2) [1024 IVs]
114.14 Def flips Annihilape (Close Combat+Rage Fist) (2v2) [2048 IVs]

Additional matchup flips at this tier's spec (not explained by a single anchor - may involve HP or multi-stat interactions):

vs Annihilape (Close Combat+Rage Fist) (2v2)
vs Regidrago (1v1)

Member IVs (176)

IV	Atk	Def	HP	Avg rank	Net flips	0v0 Δ	1v1 Δ	2v2 Δ
15/15/14 👑	192.60	119.04	168	#1	+0	+0.0	+0.0	+0.0
15/15/15 👑	192.60	119.04	168	#2	+0	+0.0	+0.0	+0.0
15/15/13	192.60	119.04	167	#5	-5	-0.9	-1.1	-1.9
15/15/12	192.60	119.04	166	#9	-6	-1.7	-2.0	-2.4
15/15/11	192.60	119.04	165	#14	-10	-2.7	-3.3	-8.0
15/15/10	192.60	119.04	164	#15	-11	-9.2	-1.7	-6.2
15/15/8	192.60	119.04	163	#24	-12	-11.4	-2.8	-7.7
15/15/9	192.60	119.04	163	#25	-12	-11.4	-2.8	-7.7
15/15/7	192.60	119.04	162	#33	-15	-12.4	-4.0	-8.6
14/15/14	191.59	119.04	168	#34	-3	-21.0	-10.5	-7.9
14/15/15	191.59	119.04	168	#35	-3	-21.0	-10.5	-7.9
14/15/13	191.59	119.04	167	#39	-8	-20.2	-11.7	-9.8
14/15/12	191.59	119.04	166	#49	-8	-21.0	-12.6	-10.4
15/15/6	192.60	119.04	161	#61	-17	-13.4	-9.0	-13.7
14/15/11	191.59	119.04	165	#62	-12	-22.0	-13.9	-15.9
13/15/14	190.58	119.04	168	#67	-10	-23.0	-13.6	-12.0
13/15/15	190.58	119.04	168	#68	-10	-23.0	-13.6	-12.0
14/15/10	191.59	119.04	164	#72	-13	-28.5	-12.2	-14.1
13/15/13	190.58	119.04	167	#75	-15	-22.2	-14.8	-13.8
12/15/14	189.57	119.04	168	#88	-15	-23.1	-15.2	-15.7
12/15/15	189.57	119.04	168	#89	-15	-23.1	-15.2	-15.7
15/15/5	192.60	119.04	160	#92	-21	-14.4	-10.5	-15.0
12/15/13	189.57	119.04	167	#97	-20	-22.4	-16.3	-17.4
14/15/8	191.59	119.04	163	#98	-14	-30.7	-13.3	-15.7
14/15/9	191.59	119.04	163	#99	-14	-30.7	-13.3	-15.7
13/15/12	190.58	119.04	166	#100	-15	-23.0	-15.7	-14.3
11/15/14	188.56	119.04	168	#113	-21	-20.7	-20.0	-19.2
11/15/15	188.56	119.04	168	#114	-21	-20.7	-20.0	-19.2
14/15/7	191.59	119.04	162	#122	-17	-31.7	-14.6	-16.6
13/15/11	190.58	119.04	165	#126	-19	-24.0	-17.0	-19.8
12/15/12	189.57	119.04	166	#127	-20	-23.3	-17.2	-17.9
11/15/13	188.56	119.04	167	#133	-26	-20.0	-21.0	-21.0
13/15/10	190.58	119.04	164	#146	-20	-30.5	-15.3	-18.0
12/15/11	189.57	119.04	165	#150	-23	-24.2	-18.5	-21.6
12/15/10	189.57	119.04	164	#163	-24	-30.7	-16.9	-19.8
11/15/12	188.56	119.04	166	#168	-26	-20.9	-21.9	-21.7
13/15/8	190.58	119.04	163	#182	-21	-32.7	-16.4	-19.4
13/15/9	190.58	119.04	163	#183	-21	-32.7	-16.4	-19.4
14/15/6	191.59	119.04	161	#187	-19	-32.6	-19.6	-21.7
11/15/11	188.56	119.04	165	#194	-29	-21.8	-23.1	-26.3
12/15/8	189.57	119.04	163	#203	-25	-32.9	-18.0	-21.3
12/15/9	189.57	119.04	163	#204	-25	-32.9	-18.0	-21.3
13/15/7	190.58	119.04	162	#208	-24	-33.7	-17.7	-20.4
10/15/14	187.55	119.04	168	#213	+0	-24.6	-29.9	-23.6
10/15/15	187.55	119.04	168	#214	+0	-24.6	-29.9	-23.6
11/15/10	188.56	119.04	164	#217	-30	-28.4	-21.3	-24.4
9/15/14	186.55	119.04	168	#243	+0	-25.0	-35.7	-24.0
9/15/15	186.55	119.04	168	#244	+0	-25.0	-35.7	-24.0
12/15/7	189.57	119.04	162	#246	-28	-33.8	-19.2	-22.2
10/15/13	187.55	119.04	167	#257	+0	-23.9	-30.9	-25.3
… 126 more not rendered (top 50 by avg rank shown)

Fortified Regidrago · def≥118.42, hp≥160 (176 IV spreads)

Clears 117 anchors across 8 shield scenarios, covering Annihilape, Clefable, Corviknight, Shadow Corviknight, +17 more. Bulkpoint(s) vs Regidrago (2 scenario flips).

108.96 Def for Corviknight (Sky Attack) vs Corviknight (0v0, 0v1, 1v2)
109.33 Def for Corviknight (Air Cutter) vs Corviknight (0v0, 0v1, 1v2)
109.49 Def for Corviknight (Payback) vs Corviknight (0v0, 0v1, 1v2)
109.83 Def for Corviknight (Iron Head) vs Corviknight (0v0, 0v1, 1v2)
111.98 Def for Corviknight (Sand Attack) vs Corviknight (0v0, 1v2)
108.71 Def + 158 HP for Shadow Corviknight (Sky Attack) vs Shadow Corviknight (1v2)
108.78 Def + 158 HP for Shadow Corviknight (Iron Head) vs Shadow Corviknight (1v2)
109.02 Def + 158 HP for Shadow Corviknight (Air Cutter) vs Shadow Corviknight (1v2)
109.49 Def + 158 HP for Shadow Corviknight (Payback) vs Shadow Corviknight (1v2)
112.88 Def + 158 HP for Shadow Corviknight (Steel Wing) vs Shadow Corviknight (1v2)
109.49 Def + 157 HP for Virizion (Stone Edge) vs Virizion (0v2)
109.56 Def + 157 HP for Virizion (Close Combat) vs Virizion (0v2)
109.56 Def + 157 HP for Virizion (Sacred Sword) vs Virizion (0v2)
111.27 Def + 157 HP for Virizion (Leaf Blade) vs Virizion (0v2)
113.94 Def + 158 HP for Virizion (Double Kick) vs Virizion (0v2)
108.56 Def for Rillaboom (Grass Knot) vs Rillaboom (0v1, 0v2, 1v2)
109.19 Def for Rillaboom (Earth Power) vs Rillaboom (0v1, 0v2, 1v2)
109.19 Def for Rillaboom (Energy Ball) vs Rillaboom (0v1)
110.36 Def for Rillaboom (Frenzy Plant) vs Rillaboom (0v1, 0v2, 1v2)
110.65 Def for Rillaboom (Scratch) vs Rillaboom (0v1, 0v2, 1v2)
111.14 Def for Rillaboom (Drum Beating) vs Rillaboom (0v1, 0v2, 1v2)
108.66 Def + 160 HP for Dusknoir (Shadow Ball) vs Dusknoir (1v1)
108.66 Def + 160 HP for Dusknoir (Poltergeist) vs Dusknoir (1v1)
109.15 Def + 160 HP for Dusknoir (Dark Pulse) vs Dusknoir (1v1)
109.56 Def + 160 HP for Dusknoir (Shadow Punch) vs Dusknoir (1v1)
109.77 Def + 160 HP for Dusknoir (Ominous Wind) vs Dusknoir (1v1)
109.86 Def + 160 HP for Dusknoir (Psychic) vs Dusknoir (1v1)
109.86 Def + 160 HP for Dusknoir (Dynamic Punch) vs Dusknoir (1v1)
110.33 Def + 163 HP for Dusknoir (Astonish) vs Dusknoir (1v1)
113.89 Def + 164 HP for Alolan Ninetales (Chilling Water) vs Alolan Ninetales (1v1)
114.09 Def + 159 HP for Alolan Ninetales (Blizzard) vs Alolan Ninetales (1v1)
114.35 Def + 164 HP for Alolan Ninetales (Ice Beam) vs Alolan Ninetales (1v1)
114.35 Def + 166 HP for Alolan Ninetales (Weather Ball (Ice)) vs Alolan Ninetales (1v1)
114.59 Def + 164 HP for Alolan Ninetales (Dazzling Gleam) vs Alolan Ninetales (1v1)
114.88 Def + 164 HP for Alolan Ninetales (Psyshock) vs Alolan Ninetales (1v1)
118.16 Def for Alolan Ninetales (Feint Attack) vs Alolan Ninetales (1v1)
118.16 Def for Alolan Ninetales (Powder Snow) vs Alolan Ninetales (1v1)
108.84 Def + 161 HP for Registeel (Hyper Beam) vs Registeel (0v1)
108.84 Def + 161 HP for Registeel (Zap Cannon) vs Registeel (0v1)
109.74 Def + 161 HP for Registeel (Flash Cannon) vs Registeel (0v1)
110.04 Def + 162 HP for Registeel (Focus Blast) vs Registeel (0v1)
112.24 Def + 166 HP for Registeel (Rock Smash) vs Registeel (0v1)
108.81 Def + 158 HP for Clefable (Draining Kiss) vs Clefable (1v2)
109.30 Def + 158 HP for Clefable (Meteor Mash) vs Clefable (1v2)
109.62 Def + 158 HP for Clefable (Psychic) vs Clefable (1v2)
109.92 Def + 158 HP for Clefable (Swift) vs Clefable (1v2)
110.17 Def + 162 HP for Clefable (Charm) vs Clefable (1v2)
110.17 Def + 158 HP for Clefable (Dazzling Gleam) vs Clefable (1v2)
110.17 Def + 158 HP for Clefable (Moonblast) vs Clefable (1v2)
111.92 Def + 160 HP for Clefable (Zen Headbutt) vs Clefable (1v2)
110.76 Def + 166 HP for Walrein (Earthquake) vs Walrein (2v2)
110.82 Def + 166 HP for Walrein (Water Pulse) vs Walrein (2v2)
110.90 Def + 166 HP for Walrein (Waterfall) vs Walrein (2v2)
111.04 Def + 166 HP for Walrein (Blizzard) vs Walrein (2v2)
111.82 Def + 166 HP for Walrein (Icicle Spear) vs Walrein (2v2)
113.42 Def + 166 HP for Walrein (Powder Snow) vs Walrein (2v2)
113.42 Def + 166 HP for Walrein (Frost Breath) vs Walrein (2v2)
113.87 Def + 157 HP for Shadow Walrein (Water Pulse) vs Shadow Walrein (1v1)
114.07 Def + 161 HP for Shadow Walrein (Waterfall) vs Shadow Walrein (1v1)
114.10 Def + 157 HP for Shadow Walrein (Blizzard) vs Shadow Walrein (1v1)
114.79 Def + 158 HP for Shadow Walrein (Icicle Spear) vs Shadow Walrein (1v1)
114.95 Def + 157 HP for Shadow Walrein (Earthquake) vs Shadow Walrein (1v1)
116.66 Def + 158 HP for Shadow Walrein (Powder Snow) vs Shadow Walrein (1v1)
112.10 Def + 164 HP for Deoxys Defense (Rock Slide) vs Deoxys (Defense) (1v2)
112.15 Def + 164 HP for Deoxys Defense (Psycho Boost) vs Deoxys (Defense) (1v2)
112.88 Def + 163 HP for Deoxys Defense (Thunderbolt) vs Deoxys (Defense) (1v2)
116.11 Def + 164 HP for Deoxys Defense (Zen Headbutt) vs Deoxys (Defense) (1v2)
116.75 Def + 168 HP for Steelix (Heavy Slam) vs Steelix (2v1)
117.02 Def + 168 HP for Steelix (Thunder Fang) vs Steelix (2v1)
117.54 Def + 168 HP for Steelix (Crunch) vs Steelix (2v1)
117.54 Def + 168 HP for Steelix (Psychic Fangs) vs Steelix (2v1)
117.54 Def + 168 HP for Steelix (Breaking Swipe) vs Steelix (2v1)
117.54 Def + 168 HP for Steelix (Earthquake) vs Steelix (2v1)
108.70 Def + 159 HP for Shadow Cresselia (Aurora Beam) vs Shadow Cresselia (0v0, 0v1, 1v2)
109.18 Def + 159 HP for Shadow Cresselia (Future Sight) vs Shadow Cresselia (0v0, 0v1, 1v2)
109.19 Def + 163 HP for Shadow Cresselia (Moonblast) vs Shadow Cresselia (0v0, 0v1, 1v2)
111.46 Def + 159 HP for Shadow Cresselia (Grass Knot) vs Shadow Cresselia (0v0, 0v1)
114.14 Def + 168 HP for Shadow Cresselia (Confusion) vs Shadow Cresselia (0v1, 1v2)
114.14 Def + 168 HP for Shadow Cresselia (Psycho Cut) vs Shadow Cresselia (0v1, 1v2)
112.74 Def + 164 HP for Swampert (Sludge Wave) vs Swampert (1v0, 2v1)
112.91 Def for Swampert (Muddy Water) vs Swampert (1v0)
113.26 Def + 164 HP for Swampert (Hydro Cannon) vs Swampert (1v0, 2v1)
113.53 Def + 164 HP for Swampert (Surf) vs Swampert (1v0, 2v1)
113.88 Def for Swampert (Sludge) vs Swampert (1v0)
113.88 Def + 164 HP for Swampert (Earthquake) vs Swampert (1v0, 2v1)
115.31 Def + 164 HP for Swampert (Mud Shot) vs Swampert (1v0, 2v1)
115.22 Def + 161 HP for Primarina (Hydro Pump) vs Primarina (2v1)
115.36 Def + 161 HP for Primarina (Disarming Voice) vs Primarina (2v1)
115.58 Def + 161 HP for Primarina (Hydro Cannon) vs Primarina (2v1)
115.58 Def + 161 HP for Primarina (Sparkling Aria) vs Primarina (2v1)
115.87 Def + 161 HP for Primarina (Moonblast) vs Primarina (2v1)
116.02 Def + 161 HP for Primarina (Waterfall) vs Primarina (2v1)
116.05 Def + 161 HP for Primarina (Psychic) vs Primarina (2v1)
110.37 Def + 160 HP for Seismitoad (Muddy Water) vs Seismitoad (1v1, 2v2)
110.87 Def + 162 HP for Seismitoad (Earth Power) vs Seismitoad (1v1, 2v2)
111.32 Def + 160 HP for Seismitoad (Sludge Bomb) vs Seismitoad (2v2)
111.32 Def + 160 HP for Seismitoad (Icy Wind) vs Seismitoad (2v2)
112.71 Def + 164 HP for Seismitoad (Mud Shot) vs Seismitoad (1v1, 2v2)
112.78 Def for Annihilape (Ice Punch) vs Annihilape (2v2)
112.78 Def for Annihilape (Shadow Ball) vs Annihilape (2v2)
113.72 Def for Annihilape (Rage Fist) vs Annihilape (2v2)
114.02 Def for Annihilape (Close Combat) vs Annihilape (2v2)
114.87 Def for Annihilape (Night Slash) vs Annihilape (2v2)
114.87 Def for Annihilape (Low Sweep) vs Annihilape (2v2)
116.30 Def for Annihilape (Low Kick) vs Annihilape (2v2)
108.63 Def + 158 HP for Zygarde Complete Forme (Crunch) vs Zygarde (Complete Forme) (1v1)
109.30 Def + 158 HP for Zygarde Complete Forme (Hyper Beam) vs Zygarde (Complete Forme) (1v1)
109.30 Def + 158 HP for Zygarde Complete Forme (Earthquake) vs Zygarde (Complete Forme) (1v1)
109.30 Def + 158 HP for Zygarde Complete Forme (Bulldoze) vs Zygarde (Complete Forme) (1v1)
109.52 Def + 158 HP for Zygarde Complete Forme (Outrage) vs Zygarde (Complete Forme) (1v1)
117.77 Def + 168 HP for Jellicent (Bubble) vs Jellicent (1v0 with bait)
117.77 Def + 168 HP for Jellicent (Bubble Beam) vs Jellicent (1v0 with bait)
118.30 Def + 168 HP for Jellicent (Ice Beam) vs Jellicent (1v0 with bait)
118.30 Def + 168 HP for Jellicent (Shadow Ball) vs Jellicent (1v0 with bait)
118.30 Def + 168 HP for Jellicent (Surf) vs Jellicent (1v0 with bait)
118.42 Def + 160 HP for Regidrago (Outrage) vs Regidrago (1v1)
118.41 Def + 161 HP for Shadow Milotic (Aqua Tail) vs Shadow Milotic (2v1)

Matchup-flipping boundaries (full-battle stat targets, not just damage tiers):

116.94 Def flips Annihilape (Close Combat+Rage Fist) (2v2) [1024 IVs]
114.14 Def flips Annihilape (Close Combat+Rage Fist) (2v2) [2048 IVs]

Additional matchup flips at this tier's spec (not explained by a single anchor - may involve HP or multi-stat interactions):

vs Annihilape (Close Combat+Rage Fist) (2v2)

Member IVs (176)

IV	Atk	Def	HP	Avg rank	Net flips	0v0 Δ	1v1 Δ	2v2 Δ
15/15/14 👑	192.60	119.04	168	#1	+0	+0.0	+0.0	+0.0
15/15/15 👑	192.60	119.04	168	#2	+0	+0.0	+0.0	+0.0
15/15/13	192.60	119.04	167	#5	-5	-0.9	-1.1	-1.9
15/15/12	192.60	119.04	166	#9	-6	-1.7	-2.0	-2.4
15/15/11	192.60	119.04	165	#14	-10	-2.7	-3.3	-8.0
15/15/10	192.60	119.04	164	#15	-11	-9.2	-1.7	-6.2
15/15/8	192.60	119.04	163	#24	-12	-11.4	-2.8	-7.7
15/15/9	192.60	119.04	163	#25	-12	-11.4	-2.8	-7.7
15/15/7	192.60	119.04	162	#33	-15	-12.4	-4.0	-8.6
14/15/14	191.59	119.04	168	#34	-3	-21.0	-10.5	-7.9
14/15/15	191.59	119.04	168	#35	-3	-21.0	-10.5	-7.9
14/15/13	191.59	119.04	167	#39	-8	-20.2	-11.7	-9.8
14/15/12	191.59	119.04	166	#49	-8	-21.0	-12.6	-10.4
15/15/6	192.60	119.04	161	#61	-17	-13.4	-9.0	-13.7
14/15/11	191.59	119.04	165	#62	-12	-22.0	-13.9	-15.9
13/15/14	190.58	119.04	168	#67	-10	-23.0	-13.6	-12.0
13/15/15	190.58	119.04	168	#68	-10	-23.0	-13.6	-12.0
14/15/10	191.59	119.04	164	#72	-13	-28.5	-12.2	-14.1
13/15/13	190.58	119.04	167	#75	-15	-22.2	-14.8	-13.8
12/15/14	189.57	119.04	168	#88	-15	-23.1	-15.2	-15.7
12/15/15	189.57	119.04	168	#89	-15	-23.1	-15.2	-15.7
15/15/5	192.60	119.04	160	#92	-21	-14.4	-10.5	-15.0
12/15/13	189.57	119.04	167	#97	-20	-22.4	-16.3	-17.4
14/15/8	191.59	119.04	163	#98	-14	-30.7	-13.3	-15.7
14/15/9	191.59	119.04	163	#99	-14	-30.7	-13.3	-15.7
13/15/12	190.58	119.04	166	#100	-15	-23.0	-15.7	-14.3
11/15/14	188.56	119.04	168	#113	-21	-20.7	-20.0	-19.2
11/15/15	188.56	119.04	168	#114	-21	-20.7	-20.0	-19.2
14/15/7	191.59	119.04	162	#122	-17	-31.7	-14.6	-16.6
13/15/11	190.58	119.04	165	#126	-19	-24.0	-17.0	-19.8
12/15/12	189.57	119.04	166	#127	-20	-23.3	-17.2	-17.9
11/15/13	188.56	119.04	167	#133	-26	-20.0	-21.0	-21.0
13/15/10	190.58	119.04	164	#146	-20	-30.5	-15.3	-18.0
12/15/11	189.57	119.04	165	#150	-23	-24.2	-18.5	-21.6
12/15/10	189.57	119.04	164	#163	-24	-30.7	-16.9	-19.8
11/15/12	188.56	119.04	166	#168	-26	-20.9	-21.9	-21.7
13/15/8	190.58	119.04	163	#182	-21	-32.7	-16.4	-19.4
13/15/9	190.58	119.04	163	#183	-21	-32.7	-16.4	-19.4
14/15/6	191.59	119.04	161	#187	-19	-32.6	-19.6	-21.7
11/15/11	188.56	119.04	165	#194	-29	-21.8	-23.1	-26.3
12/15/8	189.57	119.04	163	#203	-25	-32.9	-18.0	-21.3
12/15/9	189.57	119.04	163	#204	-25	-32.9	-18.0	-21.3
13/15/7	190.58	119.04	162	#208	-24	-33.7	-17.7	-20.4
10/15/14	187.55	119.04	168	#213	+0	-24.6	-29.9	-23.6
10/15/15	187.55	119.04	168	#214	+0	-24.6	-29.9	-23.6
11/15/10	188.56	119.04	164	#217	-30	-28.4	-21.3	-24.4
9/15/14	186.55	119.04	168	#243	+0	-25.0	-35.7	-24.0
9/15/15	186.55	119.04	168	#244	+0	-25.0	-35.7	-24.0
12/15/7	189.57	119.04	162	#246	-28	-33.8	-19.2	-22.2
10/15/13	187.55	119.04	167	#257	+0	-23.9	-30.9	-25.3
… 126 more not rendered (top 50 by avg rank shown)

Atk 193+ · atk≥192.60 (256 IV spreads) (−256 vs Bellibolt Atk (atk-sacrificing spreads excluded))

Clears 65 anchors across 9 shield scenarios, covering Ampharos, Shadow Ampharos, Bellibolt, Blastoise, +23 more. Matchup flips vs Empoleon, Mimikyu, Moltres (Galarian) (3 scenarios, 256 IVs).

182.83 Atk for Melmetal (Incinerate) vs Melmetal (1v1)
183.29 Atk for Melmetal (Brave Bird) vs Melmetal (1v1)
184.39 Atk for Melmetal (Fly) vs Melmetal (1v1)
180.75 Atk for Florges (Brave Bird) vs Florges (0v0, 1v1)
182.11 Atk for Florges (Fly) vs Florges (0v0, 1v1)
187.98 Atk for Florges (Incinerate) vs Florges (0v0)
181.82 Atk for Galarian Moltres (Brave Bird) vs Galarian Moltres (0v0)
182.91 Atk for Galarian Moltres (Fly) vs Galarian Moltres (0v0)
184.48 Atk for Feraligatr (Brave Bird) vs Feraligatr (1v0)
185.81 Atk for Feraligatr (Fly) vs Feraligatr (1v0)
190.27 Atk for Feraligatr (Incinerate) vs Feraligatr (1v0)
191.03 Atk for Jellicent (Fly) vs Jellicent (2v1)
191.23 Atk for Jellicent (Brave Bird) vs Jellicent (2v1)
183.20 Atk for Skeledirge (Brave Bird) vs Skeledirge (1v1, 2v2)
184.07 Atk for Skeledirge (Fly) vs Skeledirge (1v1, 2v2)
189.07 Atk for Skeledirge (Incinerate) vs Skeledirge (1v1, 2v2)
178.30 Atk for Alolan Ninetales (Brave Bird) vs Alolan Ninetales (0v0)
184.42 Atk for Blastoise (Brave Bird) vs Blastoise (2v1)
186.21 Atk for Blastoise (Incinerate) vs Blastoise (2v1)
186.21 Atk for Blastoise (Fly) vs Blastoise (2v1)
179.76 Atk for Regidrago (Brave Bird) vs Regidrago (1v0)
179.86 Atk for Regidrago (Fly) vs Regidrago (1v0)
181.76 Atk for Regidrago (Incinerate) vs Regidrago (1v0)
177.78 Atk for Cresselia (Brave Bird) vs Cresselia (1v1, 1v2)
179.32 Atk for Cresselia (Fly) vs Cresselia (1v1, 1v2)
185.96 Atk for Cresselia (Incinerate) vs Cresselia (1v2)
178.24 Atk for Alolan Muk (Brave Bird) vs Alolan Muk (0v0)
178.42 Atk for Alolan Muk (Fly) vs Alolan Muk (0v0)
177.59 Atk for Walrein (Fly) vs Walrein (0v0, 1v0)
177.78 Atk for Walrein (Brave Bird) vs Walrein (0v0, 1v0)
179.96 Atk for Walrein (Incinerate) vs Walrein (0v0, 1v0)
181.92 Atk for Deoxys Defense (Brave Bird) vs Deoxys (Defense) (1v1)
184.76 Atk for Deoxys Defense (Incinerate) vs Deoxys (Defense) (1v1)
184.76 Atk for Deoxys Defense (Fly) vs Deoxys (Defense) (1v1)
185.16 Atk for Runerigus (Brave Bird) vs Runerigus (1v1)
187.22 Atk for Runerigus (Incinerate) vs Runerigus (1v1)
187.22 Atk for Runerigus (Fly) vs Runerigus (1v1)
182.58 Atk for Seaking (Brave Bird) vs Seaking (1v0)
183.25 Atk for Seaking (Fly) vs Seaking (1v0)
190.85 Atk for Shadow Steelix (Incinerate) vs Shadow Steelix (2v0)
191.05 Atk for Shadow Steelix (Brave Bird) vs Shadow Steelix (2v0)
185.71 Atk for Swampert (Fly) vs Swampert (0v0, 2v1)
186.75 Atk for Swampert (Brave Bird) vs Swampert (0v0, 2v1)
188.43 Atk for Swampert (Incinerate) vs Swampert (0v0, 2v1)
180.26 Atk for Ampharos (Fly) vs Ampharos (1v0)
180.53 Atk for Ampharos (Brave Bird) vs Ampharos (1v0)
185.56 Atk for Ampharos (Incinerate) vs Ampharos (1v0)
190.81 Atk for Bellibolt (Incinerate) vs Bellibolt (2v2)
192.35 Atk for Bellibolt (Brave Bird) vs Bellibolt (2v2)
184.34 Atk for Zygarde Complete Forme (Fly) vs Zygarde (Complete Forme) (0v0)
184.87 Atk for Zygarde Complete Forme (Brave Bird) vs Zygarde (Complete Forme) (0v0)
189.35 Atk for Zygarde Complete Forme (Incinerate) vs Zygarde (Complete Forme) (0v0)
178.35 Atk for Shadow Empoleon (Brave Bird) vs Shadow Empoleon (1v0)
180.33 Atk for Shadow Empoleon (Fly) vs Shadow Empoleon (1v0)
184.68 Atk for Rillaboom (Brave Bird) vs Rillaboom (1v2)
185.17 Atk for Rillaboom (Fly) vs Rillaboom (1v2)
178.10 Atk for Shadow Lapras (Fly) vs Shadow Lapras (1v0)
180.27 Atk for Registeel (Brave Bird) vs Registeel (0v0, 0v2)
180.75 Atk for Registeel (Fly) vs Registeel (0v0)
178.63 Atk for Shadow Giratina Altered (Fly) vs Shadow Giratina (Altered) (2v1)
179.64 Atk for Shadow Giratina Altered (Brave Bird) vs Shadow Giratina (Altered) (2v1)
181.25 Atk for Shadow Giratina Altered (Incinerate) vs Shadow Giratina (Altered) (2v1)
187.34 Atk for Shadow Cresselia (Brave Bird) vs Shadow Cresselia (0v1, 1v1)
188.58 Atk for Shadow Cresselia (Fly) vs Shadow Cresselia (0v1, 1v1)
177.63 Atk for Shadow Ampharos (Brave Bird) vs Shadow Ampharos (0v0)

Matchup-flipping boundaries (full-battle stat targets, not just damage tiers):

192.60 Atk flips Mimikyu (1v0) [256 IVs]
192.60 Atk flips Empoleon (1v0) [256 IVs]

Additional matchup flips at this tier's spec (not explained by a single anchor - may involve HP or multi-stat interactions):

vs Empoleon (1v0)
vs Mimikyu (1v0)

Member IVs (256)

IV	Atk	Def	HP	Avg rank	Net flips	0v0 Δ	1v1 Δ	2v2 Δ
15/15/14 👑	192.60	119.04	168	#1	+0	+0.0	+0.0	+0.0
15/15/15 👑	192.60	119.04	168	#2	+0	+0.0	+0.0	+0.0
15/14/14	192.60	118.34	168	#3	-6	-0.6	-0.5	-0.3
15/14/15	192.60	118.34	168	#4	-6	-0.6	-0.5	-0.3
15/15/13	192.60	119.04	167	#5	-5	-0.9	-1.1	-1.9
15/13/14	192.60	117.64	168	#6	-8	-1.2	-1.2	-1.6
15/13/15	192.60	117.64	168	#7	-8	-1.2	-1.2	-1.6
15/14/13	192.60	118.34	167	#8	-9	-1.5	-1.6	-2.2
15/15/12	192.60	119.04	166	#9	-6	-1.7	-2.0	-2.4
15/13/13	192.60	117.64	167	#10	-11	-2.1	-2.3	-3.4
15/14/12	192.60	118.34	166	#11	-10	-2.3	-2.5	-5.6
15/12/14	192.60	116.94	168	#12	-10	-4.1	-3.2	-2.9
15/12/15	192.60	116.94	168	#13	-10	-4.1	-3.2	-2.9
15/15/11	192.60	119.04	165	#14	-10	-2.7	-3.3	-8.0
15/15/10	192.60	119.04	164	#15	-11	-9.2	-1.7	-6.2
15/14/11	192.60	118.34	165	#16	-13	-8.9	-1.2	-8.2
15/12/13	192.60	116.94	167	#17	-11	-10.2	-7.9	-3.9
15/11/14	192.60	116.24	168	#18	-13	-10.6	-9.5	-10.5
15/11/15	192.60	116.24	168	#19	-13	-10.6	-9.5	-10.5
15/13/12	192.60	117.64	166	#20	-14	-8.5	-6.1	-6.8
15/14/10	192.60	118.34	164	#21	-15	-9.8	-2.2	-7.1
15/13/11	192.60	117.64	165	#22	-15	-9.5	-4.7	-9.4
15/12/12	192.60	116.94	166	#23	-14	-11.6	-9.1	-4.9
15/15/8	192.60	119.04	163	#24	-12	-11.4	-2.8	-7.7
15/15/9	192.60	119.04	163	#25	-12	-11.4	-2.8	-7.7
15/10/14	192.60	115.54	168	#26	-15	-11.8	-10.0	-11.5
15/10/15	192.60	115.54	168	#27	-15	-11.8	-10.0	-11.5
15/11/13	192.60	116.24	167	#28	-16	-12.2	-14.2	-14.2
15/14/8	192.60	118.34	163	#29	-15	-12.0	-4.5	-8.0
15/14/9	192.60	118.34	163	#30	-15	-12.0	-4.5	-8.0
15/13/10	192.60	117.64	164	#31	-17	-11.7	-6.9	-8.2
15/12/11	192.60	116.94	165	#32	-16	-12.5	-9.9	-8.1
15/15/7	192.60	119.04	162	#33	-15	-12.4	-4.0	-8.6
15/11/12	192.60	116.24	166	#38	-18	-13.0	-14.9	-12.9
15/13/8	192.60	117.64	163	#42	-17	-12.6	-8.4	-9.0
15/13/9	192.60	117.64	163	#43	-17	-12.6	-8.4	-9.0
15/9/14	192.60	114.84	168	#44	-18	-11.8	-16.6	-13.5
15/9/15	192.60	114.84	168	#45	-18	-11.8	-16.6	-13.5
15/10/13	192.60	115.54	167	#46	-18	-12.9	-14.6	-15.8
15/14/7	192.60	118.34	162	#47	-17	-13.0	-6.4	-8.9
15/8/14	192.60	114.14	168	#52	-21	-12.6	-20.7	-15.3
15/8/15	192.60	114.14	168	#53	-21	-12.6	-20.7	-15.3
15/9/13	192.60	114.84	167	#56	-20	-12.8	-21.0	-14.3
15/12/10	192.60	116.94	164	#57	-19	-14.8	-12.2	-8.9
15/10/12	192.60	115.54	166	#58	-20	-13.7	-15.5	-13.9
15/13/7	192.60	117.64	162	#59	-19	-13.6	-9.9	-9.9
15/11/11	192.60	116.24	165	#60	-20	-15.2	-17.2	-15.3
15/15/6	192.60	119.04	161	#61	-17	-13.4	-9.0	-13.7
15/8/13	192.60	114.14	167	#63	-22	-13.6	-22.2	-16.1
15/12/8	192.60	116.94	163	#64	-19	-15.7	-14.0	-9.7
… 206 more not rendered (top 50 by avg rank shown)

Bellibolt Atk · atk≥190.81 (512 IV spreads)

Clears 60 anchors across 7 shield scenarios, covering Ampharos, Shadow Ampharos, Bellibolt, Blastoise, +21 more. Atk breakpoint(s) vs Bellibolt (2 scenario flips).

182.83 Atk for Melmetal (Incinerate) vs Melmetal (1v1)
183.29 Atk for Melmetal (Brave Bird) vs Melmetal (1v1)
184.39 Atk for Melmetal (Fly) vs Melmetal (1v1)
180.75 Atk for Florges (Brave Bird) vs Florges (0v0, 1v1)
182.11 Atk for Florges (Fly) vs Florges (0v0, 1v1)
187.98 Atk for Florges (Incinerate) vs Florges (0v0)
181.82 Atk for Galarian Moltres (Brave Bird) vs Galarian Moltres (0v0)
182.91 Atk for Galarian Moltres (Fly) vs Galarian Moltres (0v0)
184.48 Atk for Feraligatr (Brave Bird) vs Feraligatr (1v0)
185.81 Atk for Feraligatr (Fly) vs Feraligatr (1v0)
190.27 Atk for Feraligatr (Incinerate) vs Feraligatr (1v0)
183.20 Atk for Skeledirge (Brave Bird) vs Skeledirge (1v1, 2v2)
184.07 Atk for Skeledirge (Fly) vs Skeledirge (1v1, 2v2)
189.07 Atk for Skeledirge (Incinerate) vs Skeledirge (1v1, 2v2)
178.30 Atk for Alolan Ninetales (Brave Bird) vs Alolan Ninetales (0v0)
184.42 Atk for Blastoise (Brave Bird) vs Blastoise (2v1)
186.21 Atk for Blastoise (Incinerate) vs Blastoise (2v1)
186.21 Atk for Blastoise (Fly) vs Blastoise (2v1)
179.76 Atk for Regidrago (Brave Bird) vs Regidrago (1v0)
179.86 Atk for Regidrago (Fly) vs Regidrago (1v0)
181.76 Atk for Regidrago (Incinerate) vs Regidrago (1v0)
177.78 Atk for Cresselia (Brave Bird) vs Cresselia (1v1, 1v2)
179.32 Atk for Cresselia (Fly) vs Cresselia (1v1, 1v2)
185.96 Atk for Cresselia (Incinerate) vs Cresselia (1v2)
178.24 Atk for Alolan Muk (Brave Bird) vs Alolan Muk (0v0)
178.42 Atk for Alolan Muk (Fly) vs Alolan Muk (0v0)
177.59 Atk for Walrein (Fly) vs Walrein (0v0, 1v0)
177.78 Atk for Walrein (Brave Bird) vs Walrein (0v0, 1v0)
179.96 Atk for Walrein (Incinerate) vs Walrein (0v0, 1v0)
181.92 Atk for Deoxys Defense (Brave Bird) vs Deoxys (Defense) (1v1)
184.76 Atk for Deoxys Defense (Incinerate) vs Deoxys (Defense) (1v1)
184.76 Atk for Deoxys Defense (Fly) vs Deoxys (Defense) (1v1)
185.16 Atk for Runerigus (Brave Bird) vs Runerigus (1v1)
187.22 Atk for Runerigus (Incinerate) vs Runerigus (1v1)
187.22 Atk for Runerigus (Fly) vs Runerigus (1v1)
182.58 Atk for Seaking (Brave Bird) vs Seaking (1v0)
183.25 Atk for Seaking (Fly) vs Seaking (1v0)
185.71 Atk for Swampert (Fly) vs Swampert (0v0, 2v1)
186.75 Atk for Swampert (Brave Bird) vs Swampert (0v0, 2v1)
188.43 Atk for Swampert (Incinerate) vs Swampert (0v0, 2v1)
180.26 Atk for Ampharos (Fly) vs Ampharos (1v0)
180.53 Atk for Ampharos (Brave Bird) vs Ampharos (1v0)
185.56 Atk for Ampharos (Incinerate) vs Ampharos (1v0)
190.81 Atk for Bellibolt (Incinerate) vs Bellibolt (2v2)
184.34 Atk for Zygarde Complete Forme (Fly) vs Zygarde (Complete Forme) (0v0)
184.87 Atk for Zygarde Complete Forme (Brave Bird) vs Zygarde (Complete Forme) (0v0)
189.35 Atk for Zygarde Complete Forme (Incinerate) vs Zygarde (Complete Forme) (0v0)
178.35 Atk for Shadow Empoleon (Brave Bird) vs Shadow Empoleon (1v0)
180.33 Atk for Shadow Empoleon (Fly) vs Shadow Empoleon (1v0)
184.68 Atk for Rillaboom (Brave Bird) vs Rillaboom (1v2)
185.17 Atk for Rillaboom (Fly) vs Rillaboom (1v2)
178.10 Atk for Shadow Lapras (Fly) vs Shadow Lapras (1v0)
180.27 Atk for Registeel (Brave Bird) vs Registeel (0v0)
180.75 Atk for Registeel (Fly) vs Registeel (0v0)
178.63 Atk for Shadow Giratina Altered (Fly) vs Shadow Giratina (Altered) (2v1)
179.64 Atk for Shadow Giratina Altered (Brave Bird) vs Shadow Giratina (Altered) (2v1)
181.25 Atk for Shadow Giratina Altered (Incinerate) vs Shadow Giratina (Altered) (2v1)
187.34 Atk for Shadow Cresselia (Brave Bird) vs Shadow Cresselia (0v1, 1v1)
188.58 Atk for Shadow Cresselia (Fly) vs Shadow Cresselia (0v1, 1v1)
177.63 Atk for Shadow Ampharos (Brave Bird) vs Shadow Ampharos (0v0)

Additional matchup flips at this tier's spec (not explained by a single anchor - may involve HP or multi-stat interactions):

vs Jellicent (2v1)
vs Shadow Steelix (2v0)

Member IVs (512)

IV	Atk	Def	HP	Avg rank	Net flips	0v0 Δ	1v1 Δ	2v2 Δ
15/15/14 👑	192.60	119.04	168	#1	+0	+0.0	+0.0	+0.0
15/15/15 👑	192.60	119.04	168	#2	+0	+0.0	+0.0	+0.0
15/14/14	192.60	118.34	168	#3	-6	-0.6	-0.5	-0.3
15/14/15	192.60	118.34	168	#4	-6	-0.6	-0.5	-0.3
15/15/13	192.60	119.04	167	#5	-5	-0.9	-1.1	-1.9
15/13/14	192.60	117.64	168	#6	-8	-1.2	-1.2	-1.6
15/13/15	192.60	117.64	168	#7	-8	-1.2	-1.2	-1.6
15/14/13	192.60	118.34	167	#8	-9	-1.5	-1.6	-2.2
15/15/12	192.60	119.04	166	#9	-6	-1.7	-2.0	-2.4
15/13/13	192.60	117.64	167	#10	-11	-2.1	-2.3	-3.4
15/14/12	192.60	118.34	166	#11	-10	-2.3	-2.5	-5.6
15/12/14	192.60	116.94	168	#12	-10	-4.1	-3.2	-2.9
15/12/15	192.60	116.94	168	#13	-10	-4.1	-3.2	-2.9
15/15/11	192.60	119.04	165	#14	-10	-2.7	-3.3	-8.0
15/15/10	192.60	119.04	164	#15	-11	-9.2	-1.7	-6.2
15/14/11	192.60	118.34	165	#16	-13	-8.9	-1.2	-8.2
15/12/13	192.60	116.94	167	#17	-11	-10.2	-7.9	-3.9
15/11/14	192.60	116.24	168	#18	-13	-10.6	-9.5	-10.5
15/11/15	192.60	116.24	168	#19	-13	-10.6	-9.5	-10.5
15/13/12	192.60	117.64	166	#20	-14	-8.5	-6.1	-6.8
15/14/10	192.60	118.34	164	#21	-15	-9.8	-2.2	-7.1
15/13/11	192.60	117.64	165	#22	-15	-9.5	-4.7	-9.4
15/12/12	192.60	116.94	166	#23	-14	-11.6	-9.1	-4.9
15/15/8	192.60	119.04	163	#24	-12	-11.4	-2.8	-7.7
15/15/9	192.60	119.04	163	#25	-12	-11.4	-2.8	-7.7
15/10/14	192.60	115.54	168	#26	-15	-11.8	-10.0	-11.5
15/10/15	192.60	115.54	168	#27	-15	-11.8	-10.0	-11.5
15/11/13	192.60	116.24	167	#28	-16	-12.2	-14.2	-14.2
15/14/8	192.60	118.34	163	#29	-15	-12.0	-4.5	-8.0
15/14/9	192.60	118.34	163	#30	-15	-12.0	-4.5	-8.0
15/13/10	192.60	117.64	164	#31	-17	-11.7	-6.9	-8.2
15/12/11	192.60	116.94	165	#32	-16	-12.5	-9.9	-8.1
15/15/7	192.60	119.04	162	#33	-15	-12.4	-4.0	-8.6
14/15/14	191.59	119.04	168	#34	-3	-21.0	-10.5	-7.9
14/15/15	191.59	119.04	168	#35	-3	-21.0	-10.5	-7.9
14/14/14	191.59	118.34	168	#36	-9	-19.9	-11.0	-8.3
14/14/15	191.59	118.34	168	#37	-9	-19.9	-11.0	-8.3
15/11/12	192.60	116.24	166	#38	-18	-13.0	-14.9	-12.9
14/15/13	191.59	119.04	167	#39	-8	-20.2	-11.7	-9.8
14/13/14	191.59	117.64	168	#40	-10	-20.5	-11.8	-9.5
14/13/15	191.59	117.64	168	#41	-10	-20.5	-11.8	-9.5
15/13/8	192.60	117.64	163	#42	-17	-12.6	-8.4	-9.0
15/13/9	192.60	117.64	163	#43	-17	-12.6	-8.4	-9.0
15/9/14	192.60	114.84	168	#44	-18	-11.8	-16.6	-13.5
15/9/15	192.60	114.84	168	#45	-18	-11.8	-16.6	-13.5
15/10/13	192.60	115.54	167	#46	-18	-12.9	-14.6	-15.8
15/14/7	192.60	118.34	162	#47	-17	-13.0	-6.4	-8.9
14/14/13	191.59	118.34	167	#48	-11	-20.8	-12.1	-10.2
14/15/12	191.59	119.04	166	#49	-8	-21.0	-12.6	-10.4
14/13/13	191.59	117.64	167	#50	-12	-21.4	-12.9	-11.4
… 462 more not rendered (top 50 by avg rank shown)

General · atk≥177.59, def≥108.56 (3600 IV spreads)

Clears 2 anchors across 3 shield scenarios, covering Rillaboom, Walrein. Floor across 27 atk breakpoint opponents + 22 bulkpoint opponents. Clears the easiest anchor for every opponent.

177.59 Atk for Walrein (Fly) vs Walrein (0v0, 1v0)
108.56 Def for Rillaboom bulk (Grass Knot) vs Rillaboom (0v1)

Member IVs (3600)

IV	Atk	Def	HP	Avg rank	Net flips	0v0 Δ	1v1 Δ	2v2 Δ
15/15/14 👑	192.60	119.04	168	#1	+0	+0.0	+0.0	+0.0
15/15/15 👑	192.60	119.04	168	#2	+0	+0.0	+0.0	+0.0
15/14/14	192.60	118.34	168	#3	-6	-0.6	-0.5	-0.3
15/14/15	192.60	118.34	168	#4	-6	-0.6	-0.5	-0.3
15/15/13	192.60	119.04	167	#5	-5	-0.9	-1.1	-1.9
15/13/14	192.60	117.64	168	#6	-8	-1.2	-1.2	-1.6
15/13/15	192.60	117.64	168	#7	-8	-1.2	-1.2	-1.6
15/14/13	192.60	118.34	167	#8	-9	-1.5	-1.6	-2.2
15/15/12	192.60	119.04	166	#9	-6	-1.7	-2.0	-2.4
15/13/13	192.60	117.64	167	#10	-11	-2.1	-2.3	-3.4
15/14/12	192.60	118.34	166	#11	-10	-2.3	-2.5	-5.6
15/12/14	192.60	116.94	168	#12	-10	-4.1	-3.2	-2.9
15/12/15	192.60	116.94	168	#13	-10	-4.1	-3.2	-2.9
15/15/11	192.60	119.04	165	#14	-10	-2.7	-3.3	-8.0
15/15/10	192.60	119.04	164	#15	-11	-9.2	-1.7	-6.2
15/14/11	192.60	118.34	165	#16	-13	-8.9	-1.2	-8.2
15/12/13	192.60	116.94	167	#17	-11	-10.2	-7.9	-3.9
15/11/14	192.60	116.24	168	#18	-13	-10.6	-9.5	-10.5
15/11/15	192.60	116.24	168	#19	-13	-10.6	-9.5	-10.5
15/13/12	192.60	117.64	166	#20	-14	-8.5	-6.1	-6.8
15/14/10	192.60	118.34	164	#21	-15	-9.8	-2.2	-7.1
15/13/11	192.60	117.64	165	#22	-15	-9.5	-4.7	-9.4
15/12/12	192.60	116.94	166	#23	-14	-11.6	-9.1	-4.9
15/15/8	192.60	119.04	163	#24	-12	-11.4	-2.8	-7.7
15/15/9	192.60	119.04	163	#25	-12	-11.4	-2.8	-7.7
15/10/14	192.60	115.54	168	#26	-15	-11.8	-10.0	-11.5
15/10/15	192.60	115.54	168	#27	-15	-11.8	-10.0	-11.5
15/11/13	192.60	116.24	167	#28	-16	-12.2	-14.2	-14.2
15/14/8	192.60	118.34	163	#29	-15	-12.0	-4.5	-8.0
15/14/9	192.60	118.34	163	#30	-15	-12.0	-4.5	-8.0
15/13/10	192.60	117.64	164	#31	-17	-11.7	-6.9	-8.2
15/12/11	192.60	116.94	165	#32	-16	-12.5	-9.9	-8.1
15/15/7	192.60	119.04	162	#33	-15	-12.4	-4.0	-8.6
14/15/14	191.59	119.04	168	#34	-3	-21.0	-10.5	-7.9
14/15/15	191.59	119.04	168	#35	-3	-21.0	-10.5	-7.9
14/14/14	191.59	118.34	168	#36	-9	-19.9	-11.0	-8.3
14/14/15	191.59	118.34	168	#37	-9	-19.9	-11.0	-8.3
15/11/12	192.60	116.24	166	#38	-18	-13.0	-14.9	-12.9
14/15/13	191.59	119.04	167	#39	-8	-20.2	-11.7	-9.8
14/13/14	191.59	117.64	168	#40	-10	-20.5	-11.8	-9.5
14/13/15	191.59	117.64	168	#41	-10	-20.5	-11.8	-9.5
15/13/8	192.60	117.64	163	#42	-17	-12.6	-8.4	-9.0
15/13/9	192.60	117.64	163	#43	-17	-12.6	-8.4	-9.0
15/9/14	192.60	114.84	168	#44	-18	-11.8	-16.6	-13.5
15/9/15	192.60	114.84	168	#45	-18	-11.8	-16.6	-13.5
15/10/13	192.60	115.54	167	#46	-18	-12.9	-14.6	-15.8
15/14/7	192.60	118.34	162	#47	-17	-13.0	-6.4	-8.9
14/14/13	191.59	118.34	167	#48	-11	-20.8	-12.1	-10.2
14/15/12	191.59	119.04	166	#49	-8	-21.0	-12.6	-10.4
14/13/13	191.59	117.64	167	#50	-12	-21.4	-12.9	-11.4
… 3550 more not rendered (top 50 by avg rank shown)

Per-matchup IV finder (99 specific matchups - e.g. "which IV beats a given opponent in a given shield?")

Collapsed by default. This is a per-(opponent, shield) lookup: each card is one matchup and the exact IV spreads that win it. For "what do I need vs threat X" use Threats where your build choice matters above, or paste your collection into the scatter. Composite cards (slayer ∩ tier) surface IVs that satisfy a slayer anchor and a stat-cutoff tier; pure slayer-archetype cards live in the Slayer Builds block below, pure tier cards in the Threshold Tiers above.

Show only notable categories (≤ 5% of cohort or ≤ 5 members). Uncheck to see every non-trivial intersection.

CMP-First Slayer ∩ Fortified Blastoise (6 IV spreads)

CMP-First Slayer + Fortified Blastoise · def≥118.536, hp≥160

Envelope: Rides top of anchor band (avg +4.7, spread 0.4)

15/15/10 atk tilt - atk 192.60, def 119.04, hp 164, SP #50

One of 6 CMP-First Slayer members that also clear the Fortified Blastoise threshold (def≥118.536, hp≥160). Carries top CMP-First Slayer mirror wins (72/72) AND clears the Fortified Blastoise cutoff - no tradeoff.

15/15/11 atk tilt - atk 192.60, def 119.04, hp 165, SP #30

15/15/12 no atk weight - atk 192.60, def 119.04, hp 166, SP #16

15/15/13 no atk weight - atk 192.60, def 119.04, hp 167, SP #7

15/15/14 👑 rank-1 - atk 192.60, def 119.04, hp 168, SP #2

15/15/15 👑 rank-1 - atk 192.60, def 119.04, hp 168, SP #1

CMP-First Slayer ∩ Fortified Milotic (Shadow) (6 IV spreads)

CMP-First Slayer + Fortified Milotic (Shadow) · def≥118.409, hp≥160

Envelope: Rides top of anchor band (avg +4.7, spread 0.4)

15/15/10 atk tilt - atk 192.60, def 119.04, hp 164, SP #50

One of 6 CMP-First Slayer members that also clear the Fortified Milotic (Shadow) threshold (def≥118.409, hp≥160). Carries top CMP-First Slayer mirror wins (72/72) AND clears the Fortified Milotic (Shadow) cutoff - no tradeoff.

15/15/11 atk tilt - atk 192.60, def 119.04, hp 165, SP #30

15/15/12 no atk weight - atk 192.60, def 119.04, hp 166, SP #16

15/15/13 no atk weight - atk 192.60, def 119.04, hp 167, SP #7

15/15/14 👑 rank-1 - atk 192.60, def 119.04, hp 168, SP #2

15/15/15 👑 rank-1 - atk 192.60, def 119.04, hp 168, SP #1

CMP-First Slayer ∩ Fortified Regidrago (6 IV spreads)

CMP-First Slayer + Fortified Regidrago · def≥118.422, hp≥160

Envelope: Rides top of anchor band (avg +4.7, spread 0.4)

15/15/10 atk tilt - atk 192.60, def 119.04, hp 164, SP #50

One of 6 CMP-First Slayer members that also clear the Fortified Regidrago threshold (def≥118.422, hp≥160). Carries top CMP-First Slayer mirror wins (72/72) AND clears the Fortified Regidrago cutoff - no tradeoff.

15/15/11 atk tilt - atk 192.60, def 119.04, hp 165, SP #30

15/15/12 no atk weight - atk 192.60, def 119.04, hp 166, SP #16

15/15/13 no atk weight - atk 192.60, def 119.04, hp 167, SP #7

15/15/14 👑 rank-1 - atk 192.60, def 119.04, hp 168, SP #2

15/15/15 👑 rank-1 - atk 192.60, def 119.04, hp 168, SP #1

Anchors-First Slayer ∩ Fortified Blastoise (11 IV spreads)

Anchors-First Slayer + Fortified Blastoise · def≥118.536, hp≥160

Envelope: Rides top of anchor band (avg +5.2, spread 0.8)

15/15/5 atk tilt - atk 192.60, def 119.04, hp 160, SP #225

One of 11 Anchors-First Slayer members that also clear the Fortified Blastoise threshold (def≥118.536, hp≥160). Carries top Anchors-First Slayer mirror wins (72/72) AND clears the Fortified Blastoise cutoff - no tradeoff.

15/15/6 atk tilt - atk 192.60, def 119.04, hp 161, SP #162

15/15/7 atk tilt - atk 192.60, def 119.04, hp 162, SP #115

15/15/8 atk tilt - atk 192.60, def 119.04, hp 163, SP #78

15/15/9 atk tilt - atk 192.60, def 119.04, hp 163, SP #77

15/15/10 atk tilt - atk 192.60, def 119.04, hp 164, SP #50

15/15/11 atk tilt - atk 192.60, def 119.04, hp 165, SP #30

15/15/12 no atk weight - atk 192.60, def 119.04, hp 166, SP #16

15/15/13 no atk weight - atk 192.60, def 119.04, hp 167, SP #7

15/15/14 👑 rank-1 - atk 192.60, def 119.04, hp 168, SP #2

15/15/15 👑 rank-1 - atk 192.60, def 119.04, hp 168, SP #1

Anchors-First Slayer ∩ Fortified Milotic (Shadow) (11 IV spreads)

Anchors-First Slayer + Fortified Milotic (Shadow) · def≥118.409, hp≥160

Envelope: Rides top of anchor band (avg +5.2, spread 0.8)

15/15/5 atk tilt - atk 192.60, def 119.04, hp 160, SP #225

One of 11 Anchors-First Slayer members that also clear the Fortified Milotic (Shadow) threshold (def≥118.409, hp≥160). Carries top Anchors-First Slayer mirror wins (72/72) AND clears the Fortified Milotic (Shadow) cutoff - no tradeoff.